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. 2019 May 29;8(11):e011946. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.119.011946

Table 2.

Development of CVD by BP Category

BP Categories Person‐Years Incident Cases Incidence Density, per 10 000 Person‐Years Age‐Sex Adjusted HR (95% CI) Multivariable‐Adjusted HRa
Model 1 Model 2
Cardiovascular disease
No history of hypertension
SBP <120 mm Hg and DBP <80 mm Hg 651 936.3 607 9.3 1.00 (Reference) 1.00 (Reference) 1.00 (Reference)
SBP 120–129 mm Hg and DBP <80 mm Hg 58 157.1 108 18.6 1.47 (1.20–1.81) 1.40 (1.14–1.72) 1.37 (1.11–1.68)
SBP 130–139 mm Hg or DBP 80–89 mm Hg 133 422.8 298 22.3 1.61 (1.40–1.85) 1.52 (1.31–1.75) 1.45 (1.26–1.68)
SBP ≥140 mm Hg or DBP ≥90 mm Hg 33 205.7 132 39.8 2.42 (2.00–2.93) 2.21 (1.82–2.69) 2.12 (1.74–2.58)
History of hypertension
With antihypertensive medication
SBP <130 mm Hg and DBP <80 mm Hg 19 210.0 100 52.1 1.75 (1.40–2.18) 1.36 (1.08–1.72) 1.41 (1.12–1.78)
SBP 130–139 mm Hg and DBP 80–89 mm Hg 10 429.4 71 68.1 2.42 (1.88–3.12) 1.93 (1.48–2.51) 1.97 (1.52–2.56)
SBP ≥140 mm Hg or DBP ≥90 mm Hg 3336.2 29 86.9 2.82 (1.93–4.12) 2.27 (1.54–3.34) 2.29 (1.55–3.37)
Without antihypertensive medication 14 723.2 90 61.1 2.34 (1.86–2.94) 1.87 (1.47–2.37) 1.93 (1.53–2.45)
Ischemic heart disease
No history of hypertension
SBP <120 mm Hg and DBP <80 mm Hg 652 351.4 387 5.9 1.00 (Reference) 1.00 (Reference) 1.00 (Reference)
SBP 120–129 mm Hg and DBP <80 mm Hg 58 235.4 69 11.8 1.38 (1.07–1.79) 1.28 (0.99–1.66) 1.26 (0.97–1.63)
SBP 130–139 mm Hg or DBP 80–89 mm Hg 133 621.9 198 14.8 1.54 (1.29–1.83) 1.40 (1.17–1.68) 1.36 (1.14–1.62)
SBP ≥140 mm Hg or DBP ≥90 mm Hg 33 306.9 77 23.1 2.01 (1.57–2.58) 1.79 (1.39–2.30) 1.74 (1.35–2.24)
History of hypertension
With antihypertensive medication
SBP <130 mm Hg and DBP <80 mm Hg 19 265.6 72 37.4 1.88 (1.44–2.45) 1.38 (1.04–1.82) 1.44 (1.09–1.91)
SBP 130–139 mm Hg and DBP 80–89 mm Hg 10 459.2 53 50.7 2.61 (1.94–3.51) 1.93 (1.42–2.63) 2.00 (1.47–2.72)
SBP ≥140 mm Hg or DBP ≥90 mm Hg 3365.8 17 50.5 2.32 (1.42–3.81) 1.75 (1.06–2.89) 1.78 (1.08–2.95)
Without antihypertensive medication 14 761.7 68 46.1 2.57 (1.96–3.36) 1.92 (1.46–2.54) 2.02 (1.53–2.66)
Stroke or TIA
No history of hypertension
SBP <120 mm Hg and DBP <80 mm Hg 652 649.2 223 3.4 1.00 (Reference) 1.00 (Reference) 1.00 (Reference)
SBP 120–129 mm Hg and DBP <80 mm Hg 58 295.7 39 6.7 1.65 (1.17–2.32) 1.64 (1.16–2.33) 1.60 (1.13–2.27)
SBP 130–139 mm Hg or DBP 80–89 mm Hg 133 816.3 102 7.6 1.78 (1.39–2.26) 1.78 (1.39–2.28) 1.69 (1.31–2.17)
SBP ≥140 mm Hg or DBP ≥90 mm Hg 33 338.8 56 16.8 3.34 (2.47–4.52) 3.20 (2.35–4.36) 3.02 (2.21–4.13)
History of hypertension
With antihypertensive medication
SBP <130 mm Hg and DBP <80 mm Hg 19 342.3 31 16.0 1.60 (1.08–2.38) 1.42 (0.94–2.15) 1.45 (0.96–2.20)
SBP 130–139 mm Hg and DBP 80–89 mm Hg 10 524.9 19 18.1 2.03 (1.25–3.29) 1.89 (1.15–3.10) 1.88 (1.15–3.09)
SBP ≥140 mm Hg or DBP ≥90 mm Hg 3385.7 12 35.4 3.71 (2.04–6.75) 3.43 (1.86–6.30) 3.39 (1.84–6.23)
Without antihypertensive medication 14 866.9 22 14.8 1.78 (1.13–2.79) 1.62 (1.02–2.57) 1.64 (1.03–2.60)

BP indicates blood pressure; CVD, cardiovascular disease; DBP, diastolic BP; HR, hazard ratio; SBP, systolic BP; TIA, transient ischemic attack.

a

Estimated from Cox proportional hazard model. Multivariable model 1 was adjusted for age, sex, center, year of screening examination, body mass index, smoking status, alcohol intake, physical activity, educational level, total calorie intake, history of diabetes mellitus, statin medication, Charlson comorbidity index, and sodium intake; model 2, model 1 plus adjustment for low‐density lipoprotein cholesterol, high‐density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglyceride, and glucose.