Table 2.

Autoregression model estimate of the per capita monthly cigarette consumption

Maximum likelihood estimates of the model
Log likelihood	−107.94	Observations	210
Total R2	0.9416
Transformed R2	0.9950

Parameter estimates
Variable	Estimate	t Value	Pr > |t|
Intercept	4.8353	70.45	<0.0001
GDP growth	0.0180	2.10	0.0371
Time	0.0184	32.99	<0.0001
FCTC	−0.1101	−2.53	0.0121
FCTC_time	0.0046	2.37	0.0189
Tax1	−0.0462	−1.38	0.1686
Tax1_time	−0.0097	−7.55	<0.0001
National	−0.3056	−5.63	<0.0001
National_time	0.0078	1.72	0.0871
Tax2	−0.4309	−6.39	<0.0001
Tax2_time	−0.0382	−8.30	<0.0001
AR1	0.6277	8.87	<0.0001
AR2	0.5907	8.04	<0.0001
AR3	0.5834	7.83	<0.0001
AR4	0.5588	7.33	<0.0001
AR5	0.5435	7.00	<0.0001
AR6	0.5458	6.85	<0.0001
AR7	0.5412	6.72	<0.0001
AR8	0.5397	6.72	<0.0001
AR9	0.5546	6.98	<0.0001
AR10	0.5662	7.23	<0.0001
AR11	0.5644	7.32	<0.0001
AR12	−0.3572	−4.83	<0.0001

FCTC, Framework Convention on Tobacco Control; GDP, gross domestic product.