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. 2018 Dec 21;144(11):2718–2727. doi: 10.1002/ijc.31989

Table 2.

Comparing postvaccination human papillomavirus (HPV) prevalence with prevaccination prevalence (2009) and assessing the trend among all women, heterosexual men and unvaccinated women

All women Heterosexual men Unvaccinated women
% positive (95% CI) aPR (95% CI)1 % positive (95% CI) aPR (95% CI)2 % positive (95% CI) aPR (95% CI)3
HPV16/18 4
2009 22.7 (20.3–25.3) Reference 16.7 (13.4–20.6) Reference 22.8 (20.2–25.6) Reference
2011 23.9 (21.6–26.3) 1.08 (0.92–1.26) 13.0 (10.3–16.2) 0.75 (0.54–1.05) 24.8 (22.3–27.5) 1.11 (0.94–1.31)
2013 18.5 (16.4–20.7) 0.79 (0.67–0.94) 7.9 (5.8–10.5) 0.44 (0.30–0.64) 21.8 (19.2–24.6) 0.90 (0.76–1.08)
2015 14.9 (13.1–16.9) 0.62 (0.52–0.74) 10.8 (8.3–13.9) 0.52 (0.36–0.75) 22.8 (19.9–26.1) 0.94 (0.78–1.14)
p trend value5 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 0.62 0.16
HPV16
2009 16.9 (14.8–19.3) Reference 11.1 (8.4–14.5) Reference 17.1 (14.8–19.7) Reference
2011 16.6 (14.7–18.8) 0.98 (0.81–1.17) 6.6 (4.7–9.1) 0.57 (0.36–0.89) 17.5 (15.3–19.9) 1.01 (0.83–1.23)
2013 11.6 (10.0–13.5) 0.66 (0.54–0.81) 5.7 (4.1–8.1) 0.49 (0.31–0.78) 13.4 (11.3–15.8) 0.73 (0.59–0.91)
2015 10.8 (9.3–12.6) 0.59 (0.48–0.73) 8.4 (6.2–11.3) 0.64 (0.42–0.98) 17.3 (14.7–20.3) 0.92 (0.74–1.14)
p trend value5 <0.01 <0.01 0.14 0.06 0.42 0.08
HPV18
2009 7.6 (6.2–9.3) Reference 7.0 (4.9–9.9) Reference 7.5 (6.0–9.4) Reference
2011 9.9 (8.4–11.7) 1.31 (1.00–1.71) 7.4 (5.4–10.0) 1.04 (0.64–1.67) 10.2 (8.5–12.2) 1.35 (1.01–1.79)
2013 8.7 (7.2–10.3) 1.09 (0.83–1.43) 2.5 (1.5–4.2) 0.35 (0.18–0.66) 10.6 (8.8–12.8) 1.31 (0.97–1.75)
2015 5.7 (4.6–7.1) 0.69 (0.51–0.94) 2.8 (1.6–4.7) 0.33 (0.17–0.65) 8.5 (6.6–10.7) 0.98 (0.70–1.37)
p trend value5 0.03 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 0.37 0.95

Abbreviations: aPR: adjusted prevalence ratio; 95% CI: 95% confidence interval.

1

Adjusted for: age, lifetime sex partners, history of any sexually transmitted infection, steady partner and condom use with casual partners.

2

Adjusted for: age, lifetime sex partners, history of any sexually transmitted infection and steady partner.

3

Adjusted for: age, lifetime sex partners, history of any sexually transmitted infection, and condom use with casual partners.

4

Defined as positive for HPV16 or HPV18 in the percentage positive, and as a pooled estimate to calculate the aPR.

5

The crude p trend values were calculated using the Cochran‐Armitage Trend Test. The adjusted p trend values were calculated by including PASSYON year as a continuous variable.