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. 2019 Jun 13;15(6):e1008202. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgen.1008202

Table 2. Associations of constructed PRS with skin cancer traits in MGI.

PRS
(Number of SNPs)
Skin cancer
n = 4,503
(1,501 / 3,002)d
Melanoma
n = 1,896
(617 / 1,279)d
Basal cell carcinoma
n = 1,303
(419 / 884)d
Squamous cell carcinoma
n = 836
(273 / 563)d
PRS based on GWAS catalog
Melanoma
(29)
PRS ORa
P-valuea
AUCb
HL χ2, P-value c
Brier Score
1.3 (1.26,1.34)
2.7x10-53
0.57 (0.56,0.58)
6.8, 0.56
0.14
1.48 (1.41,1.56)
1.3x10-56
0.61 (0.59,0.62)
7.6, 0.47
0.093
1.3 (1.23,1.38)
7.3x10-19
0.58 (0.56,0.6)
12, 0.13
0.093
1.23 (1.14,1.32)
4.3x10-8
0.55 (0.53,0.58)
2.2, 0.97
0.091
Basal cell carcinoma
(32)
PRS ORa
P-valuea
AUCb
HL χ2, P-value c
Brier Score
1.32 (1.27,1.36)
8x10-60
0.58 (0.56,0.59)
9.7, 0.29
0.14
1.31 (1.25,1.37)
7.2x10-28
0.58 (0.56,0.59)
13, 0.1
0.093
1.65 (1.56,1.75)
3.6x10-65
0.64 (0.62,0.66)
15, 0.066
0.091
1.32 (1.23,1.42)
1.4x10-14
0.58 (0.55,0.6)
12, 0.17
0.091
Squamous cell carcinoma
(18)
PRS ORa
P-valuea
AUCb
HL χ2, P-value c
Brier Score
1.25 (1.21,1.3)
4.8x10-42
0.56 (0.55,0.57)
8.1, 0.42
0.14
1.32 (1.26,1.39)
5.1x10-31
0.58 (0.56,0.59)
6.2, 0.63
0.093
1.35 (1.28,1.43)
7.9x10-26
0.58 (0.56,0.6)
5.9, 0.66
0.093
1.26 (1.17,1.35)
1.8x10-10
0.55 (0.53,0.58)
18, 0.025
0.091
PRS based on latest GWAS
Melanoma
(20)
PRS ORa
P-valuea
AUCb
HL χ2, P-value c
Brier Score
1.31 (1.27,1.36)
3.5x10-55
0.57 (0.56,0.58)
4.9, 0.76
0.14
1.49 (1.42,1.57)
1.2x10-55
0.6 (0.59,0.62)
13, 0.13
0.093
1.39 (1.3,1.47)
7.9x10-27
0.59 (0.58,0.61)
16, 0.04
0.092
1.25 (1.16,1.34)
4x10-9
0.55 (0.53,0.58)
7.6, 0.47
0.091
Basal cell carcinoma
(28)
PRS ORa
P-valuea
AUCb
HL χ2, P-value c
Brier Score
1.32 (1.28,1.37)
5.8x10-61
0.58 (0.57,0.59)
5.9, 0.66
0.14
1.33 (1.27,1.4)
5.7x10-32
0.58 (0.57,0.6)
20, 0.012
0.093
1.62 (1.53,1.71)
2.8x10-60
0.63 (0.61,0.65)
6.5, 0.59
0.091
1.34 (1.25,1.44)
1.2x10-15
0.58 (0.55,0.6)
15, 0.052
0.091
Squamous cell carcinoma
(10)
PRS ORa
P-valuea
AUCb
HL χ2, P-value c
Brier Score
1.34 (1.3,1.38)
1.1x10-70
0.58 (0.57,0.6)
13, 0.12
0.14
1.42 (1.36,1.49)
6.1x10-51
0.59 (0.58,0.61)
14, 0.082
0.093
1.47 (1.4,1.56)
1.8x10-43
0.61 (0.59,0.63)
7.1, 0.53
0.092
1.4 (1.31,1.5)
2.1x10-21
0.59 (0.56,0.61)
6.4, 0.61
0.091

a Association of each cancer with continuous PRS that were transformed to standard normal distribution. Point estimates, 95% confidence intervals and P- values are obtained by fitting Firth’s bias-corrected logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, batch and PC1-4 to the full data.

b Area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve with 95% confidence intervals calculated using the test data after fitting a model with the training data.

c Hosmer-Lemeshow Goodness-of-Fit test for the test data after fitting a model with the training data

d Number of cases in training / test set