Table 4.

Results from models predicting per capita food consumption, rainy season food security, and crop yields based on recent climate

	Per capita food consumption (logged)	Household experienced food insecurity during prior rainy season1	Crop yields (logged)
			Teff	Barley	Maize	Wheat
	Coefficient	Coefficient	Coefficient	Coefficient	Coefficient	Coefficient
Climate variables
Summer temperature, t-1	−0.18	1.50**	−0.61**	0.09	−0.35	0.28
Summer precipitation, t-1	0.05	−0.64	0.05	0.12	0.23	0.20
Winter temperature, t	0.00		0.09	−0.01	−0.08	−0.13
Winter precipitation, t	0.03		−0.16	−0.31	0.01	0.35*
Spring temperature, t	−0.16*
Spring precipitation, t	0.04
Household controls
Number of children aged 0–6	−0.11***	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00
Number of children aged 7–18	−0.06***	−0.07	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.02
Age of household head	0.00	0.00	0.01*	0.00	0.00	0.00
Household head has any formal schooling	0.02**	−0.08*	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01
Female-headed household	−0.03	0.29+	−0.17*	−0.24***	−0.11	−0.09*
Ln (land area + 1)	0.19**	−0.43+	−0.42**	−0.50*	−0.03	−0.24*
Joint tests
Climate variables	2.88*	10.83**	8.57**	0.92	0.72	3.80*
Community fixed-effects	35514.68***	21000.00***	6729.68***	641.20***	6520.23***	36473.63***
Survey year fixed-effects	12.11***	6.42*	6.69**	2.95+	10.52**	2.61
Constant	4.11***	0.19*	5.15***	6.36***	5.96***	5.84***
N households	2394	1163	862	729	727	704
N villages	15	15	12	9	13	12

¹Food security data were only collected in the 2004 and 2009 survey rounds