Online-only Table 3.

Selected crop-specific yield models and coefficients.

Crop	Variable Coefficients
	Constant Term	GDD	Prec	Irr	VF	KDD34	slgt10	slgt30	awc	GDD2	Prec2	GDD*Prec	Prec*Irr
Barley	6.649962	−2.86163	1.956107	0.211724	ns	ns	0.367577	ns	ns	xxx	−1.207921	−1.962384	−1.283324
Cassava	19.16283	0.666753	−7.958917	8.454535	ns	−5.187399	ns	ns	ns	4.660226	ns	−7.958917	ns
Maize	8.248736	−2.447709	0.365055	0.680522	ns	ns	ns	−1.132499	ns	ns	ns	−0.890061	ns
Oil palm	17.124405	ns	ns	ns	ns	ns	ns	5.247929	ns	ns	ns	0.070376	ns
Rapeseed	2.812388	ns	−0.837681	xxx	0.509829	xxx	−0.852301	−0.900022	0.0194	−0.456553	0.07705	ns	0.043222
Rice	7.265925	−0.767782	−1.664991	0.259963	0.228184	−1.067667	ns	ns	ns	ns	0.192307	ns	0.06965
Sorghum	6.3906	−3.320566	0.343852	1.197672	0.223015	ns	ns	ns	0.119473	ns	ns	−1.490304	ns
Soybean	3.538115	−0.480592	ns	0.180917	ns	ns	ns	ns	ns	−0.249019	0.011759	−0.17576	−0.494005
Sugarcane	81.3797	−28.75697	ns	ns	−12.95342	−21.70054	ns	ns	0.306826	8.925447	5.231338	−23.47809	8.766958
Wheat	6.432947	−1.893532	1.601218	0.186331	0.556901	ns	ns	−1.23728	ns	ns	0.149179	−1.310299	−1.15477

Cells with value of “ns” indicated variable was not selected for corresponding crop-specific yield model. Abbreviations are as follows: GDD - annual growing degree days, Prec - mean annual precipitation, Irr - fraction irrigated, VF - temp of coldest month in a binary variable of 1 if coldest month of the year is between −8 °C and +5 °C or 0 if not, KDD34 - number of days with temp >34 °C, slgt10 - slope datasets to identify percent of 10 km cell greater than 10%, slgt30 - slope datasets to identify percent of 10 km cell greater than 30%, awc - soil water holding capacity for top 20 cm.