Table 1.
Baseline | Stationarity | Variance | Covariance | |||||||||
Population | r, % | e0 | TFR | Zq | e0q | Zm | TFRm | Zσ | Znσ | ZΣ | ZnΣ | |
Small-scale human societies | ||||||||||||
Ache | H | 2.64 | 37.4 | 8.2 | 2.23 | 17.9 | 0.46 | 3.8 | 48 | 94 | 16 | 23 |
Agta | H | 0.50 | 21.2 | 6.9 | 1.12 | 18.3 | 0.86 | 6.0 | 22 | 49 | 8.3 | 26 |
Hadza | H | 1.38 | 34.7 | 6.2 | 1.51 | 22.9 | 0.67 | 4.2 | 35 | NA | 13 | NA |
Hiwi | H | 0.39 | 27.1 | 5.5 | 1.12 | 24.3 | 0.90 | 5.0 | 18 | 23 | 6.5 | 115 |
Ju/’hoansi | H | 0.17 | 33.9 | 4.3 | 1.06 | 32.2 | 0.95 | 4.1 | 12 | 15 | 4.9 | 2.3 |
HG mean LH | * | 1.12 | 29.7 | 6.2 | 1.38 | 21.5 | 0.73 | 4.5 | 32 | NA | 12 | NA |
Aborigine | A | 1.66 | 49.7 | 4.3 | 2.30 | 28.2 | 0.65 | 2.8 | 30 | NA | 11 | NA |
Gainj | F | 0.26 | 31.1 | 4.3 | 1.12 | 28.7 | 0.92 | 3.9 | 17 | 32 | 6.7 | 6 |
Tsimane | F | 3.81 | 42.8 | 9.2 | 3.23 | 14.9 | 0.34 | 3.1 | 52 | 84 | 18 | 34 |
Yanomamo | F | 3.30 | 40.7 | 7.9 | 2.49 | 16.4 | 0.43 | 3.4 | 39 | 68 | 14 | 13 |
Herero | P | 0.47 | 50.3 | 3.3 | 1.34 | 42.2 | 0.88 | 2.9 | 18 | 103 | 6.5 | 31 |
Human LH | * | 1.65 | 34.8 | 6.0 | 1.70 | 21.4 | 0.63 | 3.8 | 37 | NA | 13 | NA |
Wild chimpanzees | ||||||||||||
Gombe | E | −1.36 | 15.5 | 6.4 | 0.75 | 19.8 | 1.38 | 8.9 | −14 | −5.0 | −3.3 | NA |
Kanyawara | E | 0.94 | 20.4 | 7.9 | 1.22 | 16.9 | 0.79 | 6.3 | 12 | NA | 2.7 | NA |
Mahale | E | −0.39 | 14.0 | 6.9 | 0.93 | 15.3 | 1.10 | 7.5 | −7.5 | NA | −1.8 | NA |
Ngogo | E | 3.31 | 33.6 | 7.9 | 2.54 | 14.9 | 0.43 | 3.4 | 22 | NA | 5.1 | NA |
Taï | W | −9.64 | 8.2 | 7.5 | 0.34 | 20.4 | >2 | 14.9 | −35 | −1,769 | −10 | −1.5 |
Mean LH (r < 0) | * | −3.67 | 10.6 | 6.9 | 0.57 | 18.5 | 2.00 | 13.8 | −23 | 0.0 | −5.6 | 0.0 |
Mean LH (r > 0) | * | 2.15 | 25.8 | 7.9 | 1.69 | 16.2 | 0.58 | 4.6 | 18 | 0.0 | 4.1 | 0.0 |
Mean LH (all) | * | −1.29 | 14.2 | 7.3 | 0.80 | 17.6 | 1.35 | 9.9 | −14 | 0 | −3.3 | 0 |
Population labels: H: hunter-gatherer, A: acculturated hunter-gatherer, F: forager-horticulturalist, P: pastoralist; E: East African, W: West African chimpanzees. Baseline reflects observed rates: population growth (r, percent), life expectancy (e0, years), total fertility rate (TFR, live births per surviving mother). Stationarity conditions show scaling factor Zq, Zm applied to mortality, fertility resulting in associated e0q, and TFRm, respectively. Variance describes the force of stochasticity that would drive ZPG via stochastic noise (as a multiple of cross-population variance) applied to all rates (Zσ), or relative to the variance estimated across the time-series available for each population n (Znσ). Covariance shows the scalar multiple of cross-population covariance yielding ZPG when applied to all rates (ZΣ), or based on within-population covariance (ZnΣ). Negative covariance scalars (ZΣ < 0) indicate cases where positive correlations must be reversed to drive ZPG. Composite populations (*) use mean vital rates for H, all humans, chimpanzees (r < 0; r > 0; all). NA indicates no longitudinal data are available.