Table 3.
Mortality scalar | ||||||||||||||||||||
Child (Zqc) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |||||||||||||||
Adult (Zqa) | 1 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
Baseline | Critical catastrophe interval T, y | |||||||||||||||||||
Zq (TFR = 5) | ||||||||||||||||||||
1.15 | * | 13 | 30 | 64 | 7 | 21 | 38 | 72 | 15 | 29 | 46 | 80 | 23 | 37 | 54 | 88 | 28 | 41 | 58 | 92 |
1.20 | * | 17 | 39 | 84 | 10 | 28 | 50 | 94 | 20 | 38 | 60 | 104 | 31 | 48 | 70 | 115 | 36 | 54 | 76 | 120 |
1.25 | * | 25 | 56 | 119 | 14 | 39 | 71 | 134 | 29 | 54 | 86 | 149 | 44 | 69 | 100 | 163 | 51 | 76 | 108 | 171 |
1.30 | * | 42 | 95 | 202 | 24 | 67 | 120 | 227 | 49 | 92 | 145 | 251 | 74 | 116 | 169 | 276 | 85 | 128 | 181 | 287 |
1.35 | * | 126 | 284 | 599 | 73 | 199 | 357 | 673 | 147 | 273 | 431 | 746 | 217 | 343 | 501 | 816 | 251 | 377 | 535 | 851 |
Critical time intervals (T, years) between catastrophes to attain long-term ZPG for the mean hunter-gatherer population, whereby crashes affect child mortality by a factor Zqc and adult mortality by Zqa (scenario 4), combined with mean vital rate alterations (scenario 1) where TFR is reduced by one (TFR = 5) and mortality increased by 15 to 35%. Asterisks indicate that ZPG could not be attained at these baseline rates without catastrophes.