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. 2019 Jun 10;116(26):12758–12766. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1902406116

Table 3.

Combining vital rate change and catastrophes (scenarios 1 and 4)

Mortality scalar
Child (Zqc) 1 2 3 4 5
Adult (Zqa) 1 5 10 20 1 5 10 20 1 5 10 20 1 5 10 20 1 5 10 20
Baseline Critical catastrophe interval T, y
Zq (TFR = 5)
1.15 * 13 30 64 7 21 38 72 15 29 46 80 23 37 54 88 28 41 58 92
 1.20 * 17 39 84 10 28 50 94 20 38 60 104 31 48 70 115 36 54 76 120
 1.25 * 25 56 119 14 39 71 134 29 54 86 149 44 69 100 163 51 76 108 171
 1.30 * 42 95 202 24 67 120 227 49 92 145 251 74 116 169 276 85 128 181 287
 1.35 * 126 284 599 73 199 357 673 147 273 431 746 217 343 501 816 251 377 535 851

Critical time intervals (T, years) between catastrophes to attain long-term ZPG for the mean hunter-gatherer population, whereby crashes affect child mortality by a factor Zqc and adult mortality by Zqa (scenario 4), combined with mean vital rate alterations (scenario 1) where TFR is reduced by one (TFR = 5) and mortality increased by 15 to 35%. Asterisks indicate that ZPG could not be attained at these baseline rates without catastrophes.