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. 2019 May 15;570(7760):189–193. doi: 10.1038/s41586-019-1200-9

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© The Author(s) 2019

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Extended Data Fig. 1 — a, b, HIV seroprevalence survey data (a) and ANC sentinel surveillance data (b) used in this analysis, by region and country. Colour indicates the data source. AIS, AIDS Indicator Survey; DHS, Demographic and Health Survey; MICS, Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey; PHIA, Population-based HIV Impact Assessment Survey. Shape type indicates whether a data source has point (GPS) or polygon location information. Size indicates the relative effective sample size for each source. A full list of data sources with additional details about data type (such as survey microdata and survey reports) and geographical details are provided in Supplementary Tables 2, 4.