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. 2019 Jul 1;179(9):1230–1239. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2019.1758

Table 3. Rates of Early and Advanced Cancer by Breast Density and Age.

Breast Density by Decade of Age Prevalence in Population, % Early Cancer (n = 3665) Advanced Cancer (n = 741)
Rate of Stage I or IIA Screen-Detected Invasive Cancer per 1000 Examinations (95% CI) Expected Stage I or IIA Screen-Detected Invasive Cancers in 100 000 Screened Women, No. (%) Rate of Stage IIB or Higher Invasive Cancer per 1000 Examinations (95% CI) Expected Stage IIB or Higher Invasive Cancer in 100 000 Screened Women, No. (%)
40-49 Years of Age
Almost entirely fatty 1.5 0.5 (0.3-0.9) 0.74 (0.35) 0.09 (0.02-0.45) 0.14 (0.33)
Scattered areas of fibroglandular densities 8.1 1.1 (0.9-1.4) 9.0 (4.3) 0.21 (0.14-0.31) 1.70 (4.0)
Heterogeneously dense 12.5 1.2 (1.0-1.4) 15.0 (7.1) 0.42 (0.30-0.57) 5.3 (12.6)
Extremely dense 3.8 1.0 (0.8-1.3) 3.8 (1.8) 0.56 (0.42-0.74) 2.1 (5.0)
50-59 Years of Age
Almost entirely fatty 3.7 0.9 (0.7-1.1) 3.3 (1.6) 0.11 (0.06-0.21) 0.41 (1.0)
Scattered areas of fibroglandular densities 14.8 1.7 (1.5-2.0) 25.2 (11.9) 0.36 (0.28-0.47) 5.3 (12.6)
Heterogeneously dense 14.1 2.0 (1.8-2.2) 28.3 (13.4) 0.44 (0.35-0.55) 6.2 (14.8)
Extremely dense 2.8 1.8 (1.4-2.2) 5.1 (2.4) 0.77 (0.58-1.02) 2.2 (5.2)
60-69 Years of Age
Almost entirely fatty 4.3 2.2 (1.8-2.7) 9.4 (4.4) 0.20 (0.13-0.32) 0.86 (2.0)
Scattered areas of fibroglandular densities 14.3 3.2 (2.9-3.6) 45.9 (21.7) 0.39 (0.32-0.49) 5.6 (13.3)
Heterogeneously dense 9.6 3.2 (2.8-3.6) 30.9 (14.6) 0.67 (0.53-0.85) 6.4 (15.2)
Extremely dense 1.2 1.9 (1.2-3.0) 2.4 (1.1) 0.70 (0.46-1.08) 0.84 (2.0)
70-74 Years of Age
Almost entirely fatty 1.4 2.9 (2.4-3.4) 4.2 (2.0) 0.23 (0.12-0.46) 0.32 (0.76)
Scattered areas of fibroglandular densities 4.8 3.3 (2.8-3.9) 15.8 (7.5) 0.48 (0.32-0.71) 2.3 (5.5)
Heterogeneously dense 2.7 4.2 (3.5-4.9) 11.4 (5.4) 0.82 (0.60-1.12) 2.2 (5.2)
Extremely dense 0.3 3.5 (2.2-5.6) 0.93 (0.44) 0.51 (0.15-1.67) 0.15 (0.36)