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. 2019 Jul 2;16(7):e1002838. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002838

Table 2. Prospective risks of stillbirth and neonatal death for 2 consecutive weeks at term, and the number needed to harm (NNH) for 1 additional stillbirth when pregnancy is continued to the next week.

Gestational age (weeks) Number of studies Number of stillbirths Number of pregnancies Risk ratio* 95% CI** Risk difference* (×1,000) 95% CI** NNH*** 95% CI**
Stillbirth
37+0–6 12 3,250 8,566,961 1.29 1.18, 1.40 0.11 0.07, 0.15 9,058 6,714, 13,724
38+0–6 12 3,516 8,032,865 1.32 1.22, 1.44 0.16 0.11, 0.21 6,242 4,735, 8,839
39+0–6 12 3,620 6,784,040 1.64 1.51, 1.79 0.42 0.35, 0.50 2,367 1,997, 2,852
40+0–6 12 3,426 4,687,330 1.64 1.51, 1.77 0.69 0.57, 0.81 1,449 1,237, 1,747
41+0–6 12 2,407 2,273,471 1.94 1.72, 2.19 1.66 1.29, 2.06 604 486, 775
42+0–6 12 1,335 700,610 1.93 1.50, 2.36 3.18 1.84, 4.35 315 230, 543
≥43 6 276 82,039
Neonatal death
37+0–6 5 296 552,964 0.41 0.26, 0.57 −0.52 −0.76, −0.31 −1,923 −3,226, −1,316
38+0–6 5 428 1,210,730 0.94 0.68, 1.49 −0.02 −0.14, 0.12 −50,000 −7,143, 8,333
39+0–6 5 560 2,029,277 1.13 0.90, 1.50 0.05 −0.04, 0.14 20,000 −25,000, 7,143
40+0–6 5 669 2,197,643 0.85 0.64, 1.13 −0.06 −0.15, 0.04 −16,667 −6,667, 25,000
41+0–6 5 347 1,127,117 1.87 1.07, 2.86 0.28 0.02, 0.54 3,571 1,852, 50,000
42+0–6 4 44 70,322 1.32 0.20, 3.38 0.19 −0.52, 1.22 5,263 −1,923, 820
≥43 4 4 6,370

*Risk differences and risk ratios refer to the change in the risk of delivering 1 week later as compared to delivering at that age.

**Bootstrap CI 95% (P2.5th, P97.5th).

***Number needed to harm when pregnancy is prolonged to the next week, compared to delivery at that gestation, to experience 1 additional stillbirth or neonatal death.