Table D2:

Estimation Results: Unobserved Heterogeneity Distributions

Mass point	Smoking	Mortality	Cause of death		CVD=1	CVD>1	Cancer diagnosis	Diabetes diagnosis	BMI	Mass point probability
			CVD	Cancer
Time-invariant unobserved heterogeneity
μ2	−2.799 (0.357)***	−0.588 (0.375)	1.031 (0.543)*	0.612 (0.623)	0.045 (0.255)	0.562 (0.475)	0.505 (0.475)	−2.024 (0.861)**	−0.040 (0.008)***	0.297
μ3	−0.521 (0.454)	−0.179 (0.476)	1.037 (0.837)	0.132 (0.998)	−0.144 (0.411)	0.511 (0.637)	0.126 (0.638)	0.020 (0.626)	0.010 (0.018)	0.032
μ4	−2.205 (0.641)***	0.089 (0.354)	1.312 (0.588)**	−0.304 (0.703)	0.252 (0.24)	0.846 (0.534)	0.332 (0.542)	0.201 (0.511)	0.072 (0.009)***	0.147
μ5	−2.095 (0.691)***	0.010 (0.435)	−0.020 (0.732)	−1.180 (0.846)	0.861 (0.354)**	0.386 (0.961)	0.127 (0.767)	0.707 (0.67)	0.171 (0.018)***	0.034
μ6	−3.061 (0.353)***	−0.198 (0.476)	1.384 (0.596)**	0.508 (0.713)	0.168 (0.213)	0.513 (0.526)	0.521 (0.495)	−0.755 (0.387)*	0.007 (0.007)	0.353
Time-varying unobserved heterogeneity
vt2	−0.566 (1.674)	−0.531 (0.677)	−0.444 (1.257)	−0.126 (1.431)	−0.896 (0.654)	−3.761 (1.195)***	−0.505 (1.288)	−0.760 (1.134)	0.976 (0.084)***	0.023
vt3	4.508 (2.05)**	−0.099 (0.738)	1.356 (0.845)	−0.109 (1.126)	−1.606 (0.644)**	−3.353 (0.626)***	−0.953 (1.19)	−2.800 (2.863)	0.689 (0.06)***	0.548
vt4	0.291 (1.692)	−1.572 (0.868)*	1.822 (1.201)	1.512 (1.293)	−0.704 (0.58)	−2.707 (0.667)***	0.037 (1.13)	−0.143 (1.011)	0.703 (0.062)***	0.391
vt5	3.578 (2.196)	−0.310 (0.699)	1.338 (0.811)*	0.429 (1.171)	0.380 (0.606)	−0.403 (0.555)	0.706 (1.169)	1.040 (0.998)	0.414 (0.044)***	0.034
vt6	0.044 (2.292)	0.280 (1.051)	0.329 (1.611)	−1.862 (1.926)	−0.945 (1.4)	−2.339 (0.622)***	−1.461 (1.166)	−2.616 (1.128)**	1.586 (0.171)***	0.001

^***Note: First mass point vector values normalized to zero for both distrubutions, and occur with probabilities 0.137 and 0.003. Standard errors are in parentheses. indicates joint significance at the 1% level

^**5% level

^*10% level