Table 1.
Variation of Annual mean (maximum and minimum) temperature among four representative concentration pathway scenarios across ten mango growing locations.
| Scenario/variable | Time period | Lucknow | Mohanpur | Paria | Ranchi | Rewa | Rupnagar | Bengaluru | Vengurle | Sangareddy | Dharampuri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temperature (Maximum) | |||||||||||
| Baseline | (1969–2005) | 31.89 | 31.05 | 33.13 | 31.03 | 32.22 | 28.76 | 30.26 | 31.14 | 33.09 | 32.25 |
| RCP 2.6 | 2020 | 32.72 ± 1.28 | 31.69 ± 0.80 | 32.60 ± 0.69 | 29.80 ± 1.13 | 32.29 ± 1.31 | 31.87 ± 1.45 | 29.73 ± 0.69 | 31.74 ± 0.63 | 32.74 ± 0.94 | 32.64 ± 0.66 |
| 2050 | 33.24 ± 1.27 | 32.09 ± 0.78 | 34.46 ± 0.71 | 30.25 ± 1.12 | 32.74 ± 1.19 | 32.39 ± 1.44 | 30.12 ± 0.67 | 32.15 ± 0.64 | 33.26 ± 0.94 | 33.03 ± 0.66 | |
| 2080 | 33.47 ± 1.29 | 32.28 ± 0.77 | 33.13 ± 0.68 | 30.46 ± 1.10 | 32.91 ± 1.26 | 33.92 ± 1.42 | 30.27 ± 0.67 | 32.26 ± 0.62 | 33.26 ± 0.93 | 33.05 ± 0.71 | |
| RCP 4.5 | 2020 | 32.80 ± 1.25 | 31.80 ± 0.82 | 32.62 ± 0.71 | 29.80 ± 1.13 | 32.34 ± 1.27 | 31.97 ± 1.49 | 29.78 ± 0.65 | 31.73 ± 0.66 | 32.67 ± 0.91 | 32.77 ± 0.67 |
| 2050 | 33.77 ± 1.27 | 32.66 ± 0.75 | 34.58 ± 0.71 | 30.98 ± 1.14 | 33.28 ± 1.25 | 32.99 ± 1.47 | 30.54 ± 0.68 | 32.58 ± 0.69 | 33.63 ± 0.92 | 33.40 ± 0.64 | |
| 2080 | 34.61 ± 1.28 | 33.24 ± 0.71 | 34.03 ± 0.65 | 31.74 ± 1.12 | 33.99 ± 1.26 | 33.89 ± 1.46 | 31.34 ± 0.73 | 33.17 ± 0.64 | 34.43 ± 0.94 | 33.97 ± 0.72 | |
| RCP 6.0 | 2020 | 32.75 ± 1.27 | 31.70 ± 0.80 | 32.63 ± 0.70 | 29.74 ± 1.12 | 32.36 ± 1.28 | 31.90 ± 1.46 | 29.73 ± 0.70 | 31.74 ± 0.64 | 32.76 ± 0.94 | 32.70 ± 0.70 |
| 2050 | 33.45 ± 1.28 | 32.24 ± 0.78 | 34.74 ± 0.72 | 30.53 ± 1.13 | 33.01 ± 1.29 | 32.60 ± 1.46 | 30.32 ± 0.65 | 32.36 ± 0.59 | 33.41 ± 0.91 | 33.22 ± 0.62 | |
| 2080 | 34.55 ± 1.27 | 33.11 ± 0.76 | 33.94 ± 0.65 | 30.97 ± 1.13 | 33.90 ± 1.29 | 33.88 ± 1.46 | 30.98 ± 0.66 | 33.05 ± 0.60 | 34.03 ± 0.91 | 33.82 ± 0.70 | |
| RCP 8.5 | 2020 | 32.82 ± 1.27 | 31.74 ± 0.81 | 32.52 ± 0.70 | 29.74 ± 1.16 | 32.33 ± 1.27 | 32.07 ± 1.49 | 29.74 ± 0.66 | 31.80 ± 0.65 | 32.73 ± 0.98 | 32.71 ± 0.66 |
| 2050 | 33.45 ± 1.28 | 32.90 ± 0.78 | 35.24 ± 0.72 | 31.17 ± 1.12 | 33.62 ± 1.28 | 33.54 ± 1.44 | 30.87 ± 0.65 | 32.94 ± 0.60 | 34.05 ± 0.94 | 33.78 ± 0.63 | |
| 2080 | 36.18 ± 1.26 | 34.48 ± 0.76 | 35.41 ± 0.65 | 33.00 ± 1.09 | 35.55 ± 1.27 | 35.92 ± 1.43 | 32.54 ± 0.66 | 34.55 ± 0.62 | 35.85 ± 0.95 | 35.69 ± 0.72 | |
| Temperature (Minimum) | |||||||||||
| Baseline | (1969–2005) | 18.92 | 22.35 | 20.94 | 19.14 | 18.87 | 15.70 | 19.28 | 21.89 | 21.27 | 21.22 |
| RCP 2.6 | 2020 | 20.25 ± 1.59 | 22.90 ± 1.10 | 22.68 ± 0.94 | 18.69 ± 1.26 | 19.82 ± 1.60 | 18.63 ± 1.68 | 18.74 ± 0.59 | 23.48 ± 0.66 | 21.78 ± 0.87 | 22.08 ± 0.57 |
| 2050 | 20.75 ± 1.56 | 23.35 ± 1.10 | 22.84 ± 1.01 | 19.37 ± 1.22 | 20.26 ± 1.56 | 19.14 ± 1.66 | 19.33 ± 0.57 | 24.00 ± 0.66 | 22.32 ± 0.86 | 22.56 ± 0.57 | |
| 2080 | 20.90 ± 1.58 | 23.50 ± 1.08 | 23.35 ± 0.68 | 19.43 ± 1.10 | 20.35 ± 1.57 | 20.61 ± 1.62 | 19.44 ± 0.56 | 24.11 ± 0.64 | 22.46 ± 0.86 | 22.47 ± 0.62 | |
| RCP 4.5 | 2020 | 20.22 ± 1.55 | 22.99 ± 1.11 | 22.64 ± 0.94 | 18.70 ± 1.26 | 19.80 ± 1.57 | 18.72 ± 1.70 | 18.85 ± 0.55 | 23.49 ± 0.67 | 21.80 ± 0.85 | 22.14 ± 0.57 |
| 2050 | 21.19 ± 1.56 | 23.80 ± 1.07 | 23.16 ± 1.00 | 19.91 ± 1.23 | 20.76 ± 1.55 | 19.76 ± 1.67 | 19.82 ± 0.56 | 24.30 ± 0.67 | 22.76 ± 0.84 | 22.94 ± 0.55 | |
| 2080 | 21.89 ± 1.54 | 24.36 ± 1.05 | 24.29 ± 0.86 | 20.53 ± 1.17 | 21.39 ± 1.53 | 20.62 ± 1.65 | 20.44 ± 0.57 | 24.96 ± 0.63 | 23.55 ± 0.82 | 23.52 ± 0.61 | |
| RCP 6.0 | 2020 | 20.15 ± 1.57 | 22.92 ± 1.10 | 22.61 ± 0.94 | 18.68 ± 1.24 | 19.76 ± 1.58 | 18.63 ± 1.68 | 18.81 ± 0.60 | 23.46 ± 0.66 | 21.79 ± 0.85 | 22.13 ± 0.60 |
| 2050 | 20.97 ± 1.56 | 23.53 ± 1.08 | 23.03 ± 1.02 | 19.62 ± 1.21 | 20.46 ± 1.57 | 19.36 ± 1.67 | 19.55 ± 0.55 | 24.20 ± 0.63 | 22.57 ± 0.84 | 22.77 ± 0.54 | |
| 2080 | 22.08 ± 1.53 | 24.41 ± 1.09 | 24.51 ± 0.85 | 20.11 ± 1.21 | 21.69 ± 1.53 | 20.75 ± 1.66 | 20.58 ± 0.56 | 25.25 ± 0.62 | 23.61 ± 0.82 | 23.65 ± 0.63 | |
| RCP 8.5 | 2020 | 20.24 ± 1.57 | 22.98 ± 1.11 | 22.65 ± 0.93 | 18.61 ± 1.27 | 19.80 ± 1.57 | 18.78 ± 1.71 | 18.90 ± 0.56 | 23.30 ± 0.66 | 21.87 ± 0.88 | 22.19 ± 0.57 |
| 2050 | 20.97 ± 1.56 | 24.21 ± 1.08 | 23.70 ± 0.99 | 20.42 ± 1.20 | 21.29 ± 1.54 | 20.33 ± 1.65 | 20.19 ± 0.54 | 24.74 ± 0.63 | 23.25 ± 0.84 | 23.40 ± 0.53 | |
| 2080 | 23.76 ± 1.48 | 25.79 ± 1.11 | 26.06 ± 0.81 | 22.42 ± 1.13 | 23.51 ± 1.46 | 22.74 ± 1.60 | 22.09 ± 0.53 | 26.48 ± 0.60 | 25.26 ± 0.80 | 25.14 ± 0.65 | |