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. 2019 Jul 4;9:9708. doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-45801-z

Table 5.

Percent change in generation time of fruit flies during future climate change periods across different models and scenarios.

Scenario/time period Fruit flies species BCC-CSM1-1 CSIRO-Mk3-6-0 FIO-ESM GFDL-ESM2M HadGEM2-ES IPSL-CM5A-MR MIROC-ESM-CHEM Ensemble
RCP 2.6/2020 B. correcta −2.74 −3.87 −2.93 −4.74 −3.34 −4.35 −3.04 −3.70
B. zonata −2.26 −3.42 −2.67 −4.24 −3.31 −3.92 −3.00 −3.42
B. dorsalis −1.90 −3.21 −2.40 −3.95 −3.14 −3.87 −2.67 −3.16
RCP 2.6/2050 B. correcta −5.57 −9.75 −4.98 −7.29 −8.49 −7.16 −8.31 −7.55
B. zonata −4.56 −8.52 −4.56 −6.86 −7.64 −6.26 −7.44 −6.66
B. dorsalis −4.34 −8.00 −4.34 −6.31 −7.20 −6.07 −7.03 −6.27
RCP 2.6/2080 B. correcta −6.19 −10.05 −3.13 −7.22 −8.88 −7.28 −7.72 −8.30
B. zonata −4.34 −8.82 −2.78 −5.89 −7.50 −6.07 −6.49 −6.51
B. dorsalis −4.14 −8.44 −2.85 −5.95 −7.20 −5.90 −6.55 −6.42
RCP 4.5/2020 B. correcta −3.30 −4.01 −2.93 −4.53 −3.27 −5.53 −3.77 −3.85
B. zonata −3.28 −3.37 −2.79 −4.22 −2.73 −4.68 −3.64 −3.61
B. dorsalis −2.62 −2.89 −2.47 −3.89 −2.33 −4.49 −3.26 −3.15
RCP 4.5/2050 B. correcta −8.26 −10.99 −8.16 −9.79 −11.28 −10.33 −10.89 −10.39
B. zonata −7.10 −10.21 −7.21 −8.62 −9.84 −9.61 −10.28 −9.08
B. dorsalis −6.66 −9.50 −6.88 −8.50 −9.23 −8.94 −9.60 −8.54
RCP 4.5/2080 B. correcta −10.36 −15.86 −9.47 −10.46 −15.22 −14.74 −16.21 −13.60
B. zonata −8.62 −13.57 −8.05 −9.22 −13.21 −12.77 −13.76 −11.80
B. dorsalis −8.27 −13.14 −7.81 −8.87 −12.80 −12.58 −13.10 −11.69
RCP 6.0/2020 B. correcta −2.92 −3.17 −2.29 −4.23 −3.15 −3.82 −3.69 −3.43
B. zonata −2.79 −2.83 −2.29 −3.86 −2.91 −3.61 −4.09 −3.31
B. dorsalis −2.41 −2.54 −2.12 −3.50 −2.50 −3.53 −3.81 −3.22
RCP 6.0/2050 B. correcta −7.30 −9.51 −7.63 −8.92 −9.34 −9.47 −9.21 −9.52
B. zonata −6.16 −8.31 −6.78 −8.07 −8.53 −8.44 −8.17 −7.85
B. dorsalis −5.97 −7.82 −6.45 −7.32 −8.06 −7.91 −7.61 −6.44
RCP 6.0/2080 B. correcta −11.18 −15.26 −10.49 −13.09 −15.51 −13.24 −11.50 −13.71
B. zonata −9.60 −12.82 −8.90 −11.14 −13.00 −11.18 −9.57 −11.42
B. dorsalis −9.14 −12.79 −8.21 −11.28 −12.98 −11.05 −9.69 −11.26
RCP 8.5/2020 B. correcta −2.61 −3.49 −3.84 −3.45 −3.85 −4.42 −4.78 −3.83
B. zonata −2.34 −2.97 −3.60 −3.25 −3.71 −4.07 −4.27 −5.21
B. dorsalis −2.15 −2.74 −3.25 −3.07 −3.42 −3.84 −3.90 −5.33
RCP 8.5/2050 B. correcta −10.01 −12.43 −10.55 −9.89 −13.67 −13.31 −13.57 −11.84
B. zonata −8.87 −11.49 −9.81 −9.53 −12.39 −11.99 −12.07 −11.02
B. dorsalis −8.33 −10.75 −9.25 −8.84 −11.58 −11.50 −11.66 −10.28
RCP 8.5/2080 B. correcta −19.08 −24.23 −19.67 −18.56 −24.70 −24.32 −24.47 −22.92
B. zonata −15.42 −20.10 −16.23 −15.31 −20.61 −20.14 −20.76 −18.84
B. dorsalis −15.09 −19.35 −16.09 −15.16 −19.79 −19.51 −19.95 −18.01