Table 6.
Predicted mango fruit infestation (%) at selected locations of India due to fruit flies infestation during current and future climatic conditions.
| Location/s | Estimated fruit infestation due to fruit flies (%)* | Generation load of fruit flies# | Predicted fruit infestation | Fruit infestation difference over current infestation | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1969–2005 | 2020 | 2050 | 2080 | 1969–2005 | 2020 | 2050 | 2080 | 2020 | 2050 | 2080 | ||
| Lucknow | 38.00 ± 1.32 | 17.80 | 18.37 | 19.16 | 19.81 | 36.07 | 38.00 | 40.70 | 42.89 | 1.93 | 4.63 | 6.82 |
| Paria | 25.16 ± 2.63 | 15.58 | 16.25 | 17.92 | 17.89 | 28.52 | 30.81 | 36.50 | 36.37 | 2.29 | 7.98 | 7.85 |
| Rewa | 32.12 ± 1.26 | 16.31 | 18.15 | 19.03 | 19.89 | 31.00 | 37.29 | 40.25 | 43.17 | 6.29 | 9.25 | 12.17 |
| Vengurle | 18.50 ± 0.00 | 14.81 | 15.81 | 15.70 | 16.40 | 25.90 | 29.32 | 28.94 | 31.31 | 3.42 | 3.04 | 5.41 |
| Rupnagar | 40.25 ± 7.24 | 14.27 | 17.77 | 18.67 | 19.58 | 24.06 | 35.97 | 39.03 | 42.13 | 11.91 | 14.97 | 18.07 |
| Sangareddy | 29.79 ± 2.08 | 16.35 | 17.05 | 17.98 | 18.78 | 31.14 | 33.53 | 36.69 | 39.41 | 2.39 | 5.55 | 8.27 |
| Ranchi | 36.17 ± 5.53 | 16.03 | 15.16 | 16.23 | 16.96 | 30.05 | 27.10 | 30.75 | 33.19 | −2.95 | 0.7 | 3.14 |
| Bengaluru | 16.50 ± 5.73 | 14.07 | 12.61 | 13.37 | 14.20 | 23.38 | 18.43 | 21.08 | 23.84 | −4.95 | −2.3 | 0.46 |
| Mohanpur | 28.35 ± 2.07 | 15.90 | 15.92 | 17.66 | 17.86 | 29.61 | 33.19 | 35.59 | 36.28 | 3.58 | 5.98 | 6.67 |
| Dharampuri | 24.52 ± 0.00 | 15.82 | 16.95 | 16.64 | 16.83 | 29.33 | 29.69 | 32.11 | 32.72 | 0.36 | 2.78 | 3.39 |
| Average | 28.85 | 15.69 | 16.40 | 17.23 | 17.82 | 28.90 | 31.33 | 34.16 | 36.13 | 2.43 | 5.26 | 7.23 |
*Fruit infestation estimated from different published literature which depends on varieties and fruit ripening season.
#Generation of fruit flies estimated only for mango fruiting season.