Table 5.
| Model | T1: Constant benefitd | T2: Benefit only for first three days | T3: Linear decrease in benefit | T4: Larger benefit for hospitalized patients | T5: Benefit only for ICU and non-ICU, on oxygen patients | T6: Benefit only for last three days | T7: Linear increase in benefit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No adjustment for baseline status | |||||||
| Simple Logistic | 82.12 | 80.31 | 81.22 | 83.64 | 65.36 | 80.66 | 82.11 |
| Sliding Dichotomy | 82.88 | 86.93 | 85.24 | 84.25 | 90.98 | 79.40 | 80.78 |
| Win Ratio | 80.85 | 81.52 | 80.71 | 81.15 | 80.61 | 81.28 | 81.04 |
| Proportional Odds | 80.97 | 81.59 | 80.89 | 81.31 | 80.77 | 81.43 | 81.21 |
| Longitudinal Ordinal Outcome | 91.73 | 87.42 | 90.20 | 92.16 | 87.42 | 85.37 | 90.88 |
| Cox Proportional Hazards | 82.14 | 92.36 | 89.57 | 84.21 | 68.21 | 62.28 | 71.95 |
| Accelerated Failure Time (Exponential) | 78.48 | 90.77 | 87.13 | 80.57 | 63.60 | 56.69 | 67.01 |
| Accelerated Failure Time (Weibull) | 82.70 | 92.53 | 90.08 | 84.90 | 68.96 | 61.33 | 72.09 |
| Adjustment for baseline status | |||||||
| Simple Logistic | 87.82 | 85.40 | 86.69 | 88.66 | 69.21 | 86.46 | 87.88 |
| Sliding Dichotomy | 85.13 | 88.85 | 87.48 | 86.52 | 91.51 | 82.00 | 83.25 |
| Win Ratioe | 89.45 | 88.78 | 88.41 | 88.64 | 88.84 | 89.51 | 89.62 |
| Proportional Odds | 90.92 | 91.00 | 90.35 | 90.86 | 89.69 | 91.66 | 90.76 |
| Longitudinal Ordinal Outcome | 84.67 | 49.41 | 65.97 | 84.07 | 82.32 | 92.25 | 92.45 |
| Cox Proportional Hazards | 88.46 | 96.79 | 94.64 | 90.08 | 64.76 | 66.60 | 77.72 |
| Accelerated Failure Time (Exponential) | 83.84 | 95.45 | 92.43 | 86.31 | 60.35 | 57.61 | 70.32 |
| Accelerated Failure Time (Weibull) | 88.92 | 96.85 | 94.92 | 90.61 | 65.07 | 65.65 | 77.73 |
Power (%): percentage of the 10,000 simulated datasets in which the Wald test statistic for the estimated treatment effect of the fitted model was significant at the two-sided 0.05 level. Power for the top three models for each treatment effect with or without adjustment for baseline health status is printed in bold.
denotes the probability of discharge (i.e., categories 5 and 6 of the ordinal endpoint combined) by day 7 of follow-up for the placebo group.
Supplementary Table 2 displays the category percentages for the more severe placebo group on day 7 and each of the seven IVIG groups.
Benefit refers to the differences in transition probabilities between randomized groups across treatment effects.
Unlike all other models which include a covariate to adjust for baseline status, the win ratio stratifies by only comparing patients who started at the same baseline category between randomized groups.