Table 2 |.
Mean daily no of cigarettes | Mean urine cotinine level (range, 0–6) | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best-fit ARIMA model | Postintervention change | Best-fit ARIMA model | Postintervention change | |||||||
Model (p, d, q)a | p for residual autocorrelationb | Mean change | SE | p | Model (p, d, q) a | p for residual autocorrelationb | Mean change | SE | p | |
All (n = 30) | ||||||||||
Early intervention (n = 9) | (1,0,0) | .732 | –5.88 | 0.36 | <.001 | (1,0,0) | .552 | –1.91 | 0.28 | <.001 |
Delayed intervention (n = 14) | (1,0,0) | .357 | –5.22 | 0.25 | <.001 | (1,0,0) | .486 | –2.08 | 0.35 | <.001 |
Late intervention (n = 7) | (1,0,1) | .113 | –4.04 | 0.59 | <.001 | (1,0,0) | .831 | –2.73 | 0.30 | <.001 |
Quitters (n = 21) | ||||||||||
Early intervention (n = 7) | (1,0,0) | .585 | –6.52 | 0.16 | <.001 | (1,0,1) | .450 | –2.07 | 0.53 | <.001 |
Delayed intervention (n = 10) | (1,0,1) | .498 | –5.34 | 0.08 | <.001 | (1,0,1) | .435 | –2.76 | 0.37 | <.001 |
Late intervention (n = 4) | (1,0,2) | .238 | –4.67 | 0.28 | <.001 | (1,0,1) | .798 | –3.75 | 0.23 | <.001 |
Nonquitters (n = 9) | ||||||||||
Early intervention (n = 2) | (1,0,0) | .504 | –4.52 | 0.76 | <.001 | (0,0,1) | .988 | –0.02 | 0.06 | .715 |
Delayed intervention (n = 4) | (1,0,0) | .697 | –6.07 | 0.31 | <.001 | (0,0,1) | .999 | –0.04 | 0.07 | .562 |
Late intervention (n = 3) | (1,0,0) | .920 | –8.50 | 1.73 | <.001 | N/Ac |
ARIMA, autoregressive integrated moving average; SE, standard error.
aARIMA model terms: p is the order of the autoregressive part; d is the order of the differencing; q is the order of the moving-average process.
b p Value for autocorrelation of residuals to lag 6.
cARIMA model not applicable because of the constant mean urine cotinine Level 6 throughout the 8-week intervention period.