Skip to main content
. 2018 Apr 10;9(2):308–318. doi: 10.1093/tbm/iby027

Table 2 |.

Best-fit ARIMA models for interrupted time series analysis on the effect of multicomponent intervention on smoking and urine cotinine trajectories, by quitting status

Mean daily no of cigarettes Mean urine cotinine level (range, 0–6)
Best-fit ARIMA model Postintervention change Best-fit ARIMA model Postintervention change
Model (p, d, q)a p for residual autocorrelationb Mean change SE p Model (p, d, q) a p for residual autocorrelationb Mean change SE p
All (n = 30)
 Early intervention (n = 9) (1,0,0) .732 –5.88 0.36 <.001 (1,0,0) .552 –1.91 0.28 <.001
 Delayed intervention (n = 14) (1,0,0) .357 –5.22 0.25 <.001 (1,0,0) .486 –2.08 0.35 <.001
 Late intervention (n = 7) (1,0,1) .113 –4.04 0.59 <.001 (1,0,0) .831 –2.73 0.30 <.001
Quitters (n = 21)
 Early intervention (n = 7) (1,0,0) .585 –6.52 0.16 <.001 (1,0,1) .450 –2.07 0.53 <.001
 Delayed intervention (n = 10) (1,0,1) .498 –5.34 0.08 <.001 (1,0,1) .435 –2.76 0.37 <.001
 Late intervention (n = 4) (1,0,2) .238 –4.67 0.28 <.001 (1,0,1) .798 –3.75 0.23 <.001
Nonquitters (n = 9)
 Early intervention (n = 2) (1,0,0) .504 –4.52 0.76 <.001 (0,0,1) .988 –0.02 0.06 .715
 Delayed intervention (n = 4) (1,0,0) .697 –6.07 0.31 <.001 (0,0,1) .999 –0.04 0.07 .562
 Late intervention (n = 3) (1,0,0) .920 –8.50 1.73 <.001 N/Ac

ARIMA, autoregressive integrated moving average; SE, standard error.

aARIMA model terms: p is the order of the autoregressive part; d is the order of the differencing; q is the order of the moving-average process.

b p Value for autocorrelation of residuals to lag 6.

cARIMA model not applicable because of the constant mean urine cotinine Level 6 throughout the 8-week intervention period.