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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Jul 1.
Published in final edited form as: Am J Gastroenterol. 2019 Jul;114(7):1091–1100. doi: 10.14309/ajg.0000000000000280

Table 5:

Models for Predicting 30-day mortality

Model incorporating Nosocomial infections as Yes/No Model incorporating Infections as ordinal variables
Variable p-value OR (95% CI) AUC (95%CI) Sensitivity/
Specificity
Variable p-value OR (95% CI) AUC (95%CI) Sensitivity/
Specificity
Age <0.0001 1.04
(1.03, 1.06)
0.84
(0.82, 0.89)
0.83
/0.72
Age <0.0001 1.05
(1.03, 1.06)
0.84
(0.81, 0.87)
0.73/
0.83
Rifaximin at Admission 0.0282 0.68
(0.48, 0.96)
Alcoholic Etiology 0.0240 1.45
(1.05, 2.00)
Lactulose at Admission 0.0445 1.42
(1.01, 2.0)
PPI at Admission 0.0133 0.67
(0.49, 0.92)
Episodes of AKI <0.0001 2.17
(1.51, 3.14)
Rifaximin at Admission 0.0064 0.61
(0.42, 0.87)
MELD <0.0001 1.07
(1.05, 1.09)
Lactulose at Admission 0.0203 1.52 (1.07, 2.17)
ICU Admission 0.0003 1.99
(1.38, 2.87)
Episodes of AKI <0.0001 2.27 (1.56, 3.30)
ACLF <0.0001 3.34
(2.23, 5.01)
MELD <0.0001 1.31
(1.04, 1.08)
Nosocomial Infection 0.0002 1.96
(1.37, 2.80)
ICU Admission 0.0012 1.89
(1.29, 2.77)
ACLF <0.0001 3.57
(2.34, 5.44)
Infection Variable
0
1
2
3
0.0047

---
1 vs 0 1.14 (0.75, 1.73)
2 vs 0 2.22 (1.42,3.50)
3 vs 0 1.56 (1.01, 2.56)

Ordinal variable; 0=no infections, 1=admission infection only, 2=no admission infection but nosocomial infection, 3=both admission and nosocomial infections

For Yes/No model n = 2,198. For ordinal infection model, n = 2,149