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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 Jul 8.
Published in final edited form as: Climate (Basel). 2017 Dec 13;5(4):93. doi: 10.3390/cli5040093

Table 3. Average of GCM estimates of changes in Tmean by 2050 and 2100 (relative to 2017).

WHO Region Ecoregion Domain Cities 2050 2100

RCP2.6 RCP8.5 RCP2.6 RCP8.5

Mean (°C) Coldest Month (°C) Hottest Month (°C) Mean (°C) Coldest Month (°C) Hottest Month (°C) Mean (°C) Coldest Month (°C) Hottest Month (°C) Mean (°C) Coldest Month (°C) Hottest Month (°C)
Africa Polar 0 - - - - - - - - - - - -
Humid temperate 2 0.95 0.70 1.24 1.32 1.08 1.72 1.09 0.82 1.36 4.23 3.27 5.45
Dry 3 0.87 0.86 0.84 1.26 1.27 1.22 1.04 0.97 1.13 4.23 4.01 4.08
Humid tropical 15 0.80 0.79 0.82 1.15 1.14 1.16 0.94 0.89 1.00 3.79 3.74 3.87

Americas Polar 1 1.26 1.49 1.28 1.59 1.79 1.63 1.50 1.96 1.37 5.03 5.78 5.39
Humid temperate 18 1.05 1.04 1.14 1.42 1.48 1.54 1.25 1.39 1.26 4.44 4.41 4.90
Dry 10 0.97 0.91 1.01 1.35 1.33 1.41 1.12 1.17 1.14 4.36 4.11 4.64
Humid tropical 27 0.77 0.74 0.76 1.10 1.02 1.09 0.92 0.87 0.94 3.61 3.41 3.65

Eastern Mediterranean Polar 0 - - - - - - - - - - - -
Humid temperate 3 0.97 0.75 1.18 1.35 1.16 1.58 1.12 0.92 1.33 4.30 3.52 4.87
Dry 13 0.99 0.98 1.08 1.37 1.30 1.52 1.17 1.15 1.22 4.54 4.27 4.89
Humid tropical 3 0.94 1.13 0.94 1.49 1.46 1.60 1.24 1.28 1.28 5.06 5.07 5.14

Europe Polar 4 1.25 1.46 1.05 1.64 1.61 1.39 1.41 1.76 1.10 5.37 6.49 4.57
Humid temperate 45 0.99 0.85 1.31 1.34 1.24 1.72 1.16 1.14 1.38 4.20 3.99 5.35
Dry 6 1.08 0.91 1.48 1.48 1.27 1.98 1.27 1.27 1.54 4.75 4.10 6.17
Humid tropical 0 - - - - - - - - - - - -

South-East Asia Polar 0 - - - - - - - - - - - -
Humid temperate 2 1.13 1.28 1.13 1.44 1.50 1.48 1.28 1.40 1.38 4.64 5.15 4.63
Dry 1 0.77 1.09 0.71 1.15 1.36 1.13 0.95 1.20 0.96 3.83 4.70 3.47
Humid tropical 36 0.73 0.82 0.78 1.10 1.16 1.18 0.95 1.03 1.02 3.81 4.04 3.91

Western Pacific Polar 1 1.23 1.43 0.95 1.65 1.62 1.36 1.36 1.44 1.15 5.39 6.33 4.82
Humid temperate 43 1.05 1.13 1.01 1.35 1.38 1.32 1.22 1.26 1.22 4.38 4.53 4.36
Dry 2 0.94 0.94 0.92 1.25 1.16 1.25 1.04 0.96 1.07 4.04 3.93 4.07
Humid tropical 10 0.76 0.74 0.73 1.05 1.10 1.04 0.97 1.03 0.89 3.41 3.38 3.42