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. 2019 Apr 13;64(6):957–964. doi: 10.1007/s00038-019-01234-z

Table 1.

Nested hierarchy of vaccination scenarios simulated for South Africa over the years 2027 through 2047

Scenario Coverage (%) Scale-up (years) Efficacy (%) Durability (years) Waning Return rate for booster (%)
1 100 0 100 20 No NA
2 100 5 100 20 No NA
3 100 5 100 10 No NA
4 100 5 50 10 Yes 100
5 60 5 50 10 Yes 100
6 30 5 50 10 Yes 100
7 10 5 50 10 Yes 100
8 100 5 50 10 Yes 80
9 60 5 50 10 Yes 80
10 30 5 50 10 Yes 80
11 10 5 50 10 Yes 80
12 100 5 50 10 Yes 50
13 60 5 50 10 Yes 50
14 30 5 50 10 Yes 50
15 10 5 50 10 Yes 50