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. 2019 May 31;38(18):3444–3459. doi: 10.1002/sim.8183

Table 5.

Key Findings. Effects of measurement heterogeneity on predictive performance in general scenarios of measurement heterogeneity. The scenarios were defined by generating different qualities of measurement across settings using the general measurement error model in Equation (1). Measurements in the derivation set corresponded to the random measurement error model (Equation 1), ie, under ψ D = 0 and θ D = 1.0. Using similar logic, all patterns can be translated to differential measurement of cases and noncases (ie, when ψ 1 ≠ ψ 0 and/or θ 1 ≠ θ 0 and/or σϵ12σϵ02)

Predictive Performance at Validation
Predictor Measurements at Validation Discrimination Calibration‐in‐the‐large Calibration Slope Overall Accuracy
Less precise compared to derivation;
σϵ(D)2<σϵ(V)2
Deteriorated b < 1 Deteriorated
More precise compared to derivation;
σϵ(D)2>σϵ(V)2
Improved b > 1 Improved
Weaker association with actual predictor value, while
‐ less precise compared to derivation; θ V < 1.0, σϵ(D)2<σϵ(V)2 Stronger deterioration Stronger b < 1 Stronger deterioration
‐ more precise compared to derivation; θ V < 1.0, σϵ(D)2>σϵ(V)2 Less improvement Stronger b > 1 Less improvement
Stronger association with actual predictor value, while
‐ less precise compared to derivation; θ V > 1.0, σϵ(D)2<σϵ(V)2 Less deterioration Less b < 1 Less deterioration
‐ more precise compared to derivation; θ V > 1.0, σϵ(D)2>σϵ(V)2 Stronger improvement Less b > 1 Stronger improvement
Increased by a constant relative to derivation. ψ V > 0 a < 0