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. 2019 Jun 26;10:1340. doi: 10.3389/fmicb.2019.01340

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Copyright © 2019 Bello, Arantes, Lacoste, Ouka, Boncy, Césaire, Liautaud, Nacher and Dos Santos.

This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

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Population and epidemiological dynamics of the HIV-1 B_CAR epidemic in Hispaniola. (A,B) Plots showing the median (solid blue lines) and the 95% HPD intervals (dashed blue areas) estimates of the effective number of HIV-1 B_CAR infections (Ne, y axis) along time (years, x axis) in Hispaniola under the BSKL and BSKG models. The median Ne estimates provided by the logistic growth (LG) parametric model (dark gray line) and their 95% HPD (pale gray area) are co-plotted in both graphics. (C) Plot summarizing the number of new HIV cases in adult (>15 years old) populations from Haiti and the Dominican Republic according to the UNAIDS estimations (http://aidsinfo.unaids.org/). The dashed vertical lines indicate the time of the last coalescent event.