Skip to main content
. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 Jul 16.
Published in final edited form as: J Reprod Med. 2010 Sep-Oct;55(9-10):373–381.

Table I:

Model inputs

Probabilities
Gestational Age (weeks) Source
34 35 36 37 38 39
Emergent Bleed 0.0000 0.0469 0.1504 0.2987 0.5855 0.8723 Calculated, see text Zlatnik 2007(6)
Intrauterine fetal demise 0.0000 0.0004 0.0007 0.0012 0.0017 0.0022 Smith 2000(7)
Neonatal death 0.0130 0.0080 0.0050 0.0044 0.0029 0.0020 Copper 1993 (8), see text
Respiratory distress syndrome 0.1350 0.0640 0.0330 0.0040 0.0040 0.0030 Robertson 1992(9)
Cerebral palsy 0.0088 0.0051 0.0031 0.0025 0.0013 0.0009 Surman 2004(10)
No emergent bleed Emergent bleed Kohi P, Zlatnik M, Little S, Caughey A. Bleeding previa: what are the risks? [abstract] Am J Obstet Gynecol 2006;195S113.
Postpartum hemorrhage 0.124 0.2488
Blood transfusion 0.0849 0.2615
Hysterectomy 0.0165 0.0547
No placenta accreta Placenta accreta
Maternal death, if hysterectomy 0.01 0.091 Gielchinsky (11), Clark 1984(12)
Placenta accreta 0.05 Usta 2005(13), Miller 1997(14)
Amniocentesis rupture of membranes 0.01 Gordon 2002(15)
Reduction in respiratory distress syndrome from steroid administration 0.34 Roberts 2006(16), Stutchfield 2005 (17)
% of cerebral palsy that is severe 0.29 Surman 2004(10)
% of cerebral palsy that is moderate 0.15
Sensitivity fetal lung maturity testing 0.851 Herbert 1986(18)
Specificity fetal lung maturity testing 0.843
Life expectancies
Maternal 56 CDC(19)
Neonatal 77.9
Neonate with severe cerebral palsy 28.7 Life Expectancy Project 2005(20)
Neonate with moderate cerebral palsy 62
Utilities
Infertility 0.82 Hu 2004(21)
Having a child with cerebral palsy 0.81 Kuppermann 2000(22)
Fetal/Neonatal death 0.92
Having severe cerebral palsy 0.3 Saigal 1999(23)
Having moderate cerebral palsy 0.9
Having a child with respiratory distress 0.98 (one year duration) Assumed