Table 3. Characteristic values held in common across scenarios.
Factor | Value Used | |
---|---|---|
Detection window in OF samples prior to clinical signs[7, 11, 13–16, 22] | ASF | 2–4 days |
CSF | 0–1 days | |
FMD | 1–3 days | |
Prevalence detection threshold[33] | Premises level | 2% |
Barn level | 33% | |
Pen level | 20% | |
Probability of detection | 0.95 | |
Diagnostic test sensitivity[7, 11, 23] | 62–95% | |
Diagnostic test specificity[7, 11, 23] | 99–99.99% | |
Pen size[5, 24] | 25 head | |
Barn size[5, 24] | Pens | 50–70 |
Animals | 1250–1750 | |
Barns per premises[5, 24] | 3 barns | |
Premises in 10-km control area[20, 21] | 25–50 premises | |
Premises in 10-km surveillance zone[20, 21] | 75–150 premises | |
Individual animal samples per premises[20, 21] | 157 | |
Large scale outbreak length[25] | 97 days | |
OF sampling and testing costs[35–40] | $50/sample | |
Investigation and confirmatory testing costs[35–40] | $471-540/follow up |
[7Senthilkumaran et al., 2017; 9Vosloo et al., 2015; 11Grau et al., 2015; 13Davies et al., 2017; 14Guinat et al., 2014; 15Dietze et al., 2016; 16Petrini et al., 2017; 20USDA APHIS Veterinary Services, 2014; 21USDA APHIS Veterinary Services, 2013; 22Weesendorp et al., 2009; 23Vosloo et al., 2015; 24USDA NASS, 2017; 25Delgado et al., 2015; 33Davies et al., 2002; 35IADDL, 2016; 36ISU VDL, 2016; 37KSU VDL, 2016; 38PADLS, 2016; 39UMN VDL, 2016; 40USDA APHIS VS FADDL, 2016]