TABLE 3. Projected impact of increasing excise tax by 50% per cigarette pack (change in retail price per pack, sales volume, excise revenue, and total tax revenue): central estimates by subregion/region, Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC), 2014.
Subregion/region and income group |
Change in sales volume |
Change in tax revenue |
||
---|---|---|---|---|
Millions of packs |
% |
US$ (millions) |
% |
|
The Caribbean |
−7 to −18 |
−3 to −8 |
120 to 156 |
27 to 36 |
Central America |
−24 to −252 |
−1 to −12 |
1 284 to 1 959 |
30 to 46 |
South America |
−271 to −878 |
−3 to −11 |
4 580 to 5 971 |
26 to 34 |
LAC region |
−303 to −1 147 |
−3 to −11 |
5 984 to 8 086 |
27 to 37 |
LMICa ( n = 7) |
−42 to −105 |
−7 to −17 |
42 to 91 |
13 to 28 |
UMICb ( n = 17) |
−204 to −960 |
−2 to −10 |
5 065 to 7 013 |
27 to 37 |
HICc ( n = 7) |
−57 to −83 |
−7 to −10 |
878 to 983 |
33 to 37 |
Source: Author estimates.
LMIC = lower-middle-income country.
UMIC = upper-middle-income country.
HIC = high-income country.