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. 2017 Dec 12;41:e151. doi: 10.26633/RPSP.2017.151

TABLE 3. Projected impact of increasing excise tax by 50% per cigarette pack (change in retail price per pack, sales volume, excise revenue, and total tax revenue): central estimates by subregion/region, Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC), 2014.

Subregion/region and income group

Change in sales volume

Change in tax revenue

Millions of packs

%

US$ (millions)

%

The Caribbean

−7 to −18

−3 to −8

120 to 156

27 to 36

Central America

−24 to −252

−1 to −12

1 284 to 1 959

30 to 46

South America

−271 to −878

−3 to −11

4 580 to 5 971

26 to 34

LAC region

−303 to −1 147

−3 to −11

5 984 to 8 086

27 to 37

LMICa ( n = 7)

−42 to −105

−7 to −17

42 to 91

13 to 28

UMICb ( n = 17)

−204 to −960

−2 to −10

5 065 to 7 013

27 to 37

HICc ( n = 7)

−57 to −83

−7 to −10

878 to 983

33 to 37

Source: Author estimates.

a

LMIC = lower-middle-income country.

b

UMIC = upper-middle-income country.

c

HIC = high-income country.