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. 2019 Jul 17;154(9):800–809. doi: 10.1001/jamasurg.2019.1742

Table 2. Univariable and Multivariable Association of Baseline Variables With Lymphedema Using 3 Definitions for Lymphedema.

Variable Objective Measurement Patient Report
No. 10% Volume Increase 20% Volume Increase No. Lymphedema Symptoms (Heaviness or Swelling)
HR (95% CI) P Value HR (95% CI) P Value HR (95% CI) P Value
Univariable Analysis
Age, y
<50 201 1 [Reference] .32 1 [Reference] .79 225 1 [Reference] .99
50-59 117 1.31 (0.96-1.76) 1.12 (0.76-1.66) 122 1.02 (0.70-1.49)
60-69 59 1.10 (0.74-1.64) 1.27 (0.79-2.07) 67 0.94 (0.59-1.52)
≥70 11 0.79 (0.32-1.94) 1.12 (0.41-3.08) 15 0.93 (0.34-2.55)
Age, continuous, y 388 1.00 (0.99-1.02) .78 1.01 (0.99-1.03) .27 429 1.00 (0.98-1.02) .99
BMI category
<30 216 1 [Reference] .15 1 [Reference] .17 235 1 [Reference] .008
≥30 170 1.22 (0.93-1.60) 1.27 (0.90-1.79) 192 1.56 (1.12-2.17)
BMI, continuous 386 1.01 (0.99-1.03) .45 1.01 (0.99-1.04) .34 427 1.04 (1.01-1.06) .004
Tumor biology
ERBB2 positive/ERBB2 negative 185 1 [Reference] .26 1 [Reference] .38 202 1 [Reference] .30
ERBB2 positive 108 0.85 (0.61-1.19) 0.96 (0.63-1.46) 124 1.29 (0.88-1.90)
Triple negative 95 1.18 (0.85-1.63) 1.29 (0.86-1.95) 103 1.30 (0.86-1.96)
Length of NAC, d .009
<105 116 0.99 (0.71-1.37) .86 1.10 (0.70-1.72) 127 0.90 (0.59-1.38) .03
105-143 151 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 165 1 [Reference]
≥144 121 1.08 (0.78-1.49) 1.79 (1.19-2.68) 137 1.48 (1.01-2.17)
Length of NAC, continuous, d 1.00 (1.00-1.01) .28 1.01 (1.00-1.01) .004 1.00 (1.00-1.01) .11
Chemotherapy regimen
Anthracycline 12 1 [Reference] .32 1 [Reference] .30 21 1 [Reference] .45
Taxane 71 1.20 (0.47-3.06) 0.74 (0.25-2.20) 76 1.28 (0.44-3.70)
Both 301 1.52 (0.62-3.69) 1.11 (0.41-3.01) 327 1.58 (0.58-4.29)
Radiotherapy
Received radiotherapy, including nodal radiotherapy 252 1 [Reference] .68 1 [Reference] .15 276 1 [Reference] .42
Received radiotherapy without nodal radiotherapy 93 1.12 (0.82-1.53) 1.40 (0.95-2.07) 103 0.76 (0.50-1.15)
Did not receive radiotherapy 43 0.92 (0.58-1.45) 1.43 (0.84-2.45) 50 0.92 (0.53-1.58)
Surgery type
Mastectomy 234 1 [Reference] .19 1 [Reference] .64 261 1 [Reference] .90
Partial mastectomy 152 1.20 (0.91-1.58) 1.09 (0.77-1.54) 166 0.98 (0.70-1.37)
Total nodes removed
<30 350 1 [Reference] .008 1 [Reference] .08 392 1 [Reference] .30
≥30 38 1.70 (1.15-2.52) 1.56 (0.95-2.56) 37 1.31 (0.78-2.21)
Total nodes removed, continuous 388 1.02 (1.00-1.03) .048 1.01 (0.99-1.03) .30 429 1.00 (0.98-1.03) .62
Total positive nodes
0 164 1 [Reference] .22 1 [Reference] .33 183 1 [Reference] .46
1-3 126 1.03 (0.74-1.41) 0.97 (0.64-1.46) 135 1.28 (0.87-1.89)
4-9 74 1.73 (1.02-2.91) 1.64 (0.84-3.23) 85 1.23 (0.63-2.42)
≥10 24 1.11 (0.76-1.62) 1.29 (0.82-2.04) 26 1.35 (0.87-2.09)
Total positive nodes, continuous 388 1.03 (1.00-1.06) .03 1.03 (0.99-1.07) .15 429 1.02 (0.98-1.06) .32
Multivariable Analysis
Age, continuous, y NA 1.00 (0.99-1.01) .95 1.01 (0.99-1.03) .30 NA 1.00 (0.98-1.01) .75
BMI, continuous NA 1.00 (0.98-1.02) .95 1.01 (0.98-1.03) .55 NA 1.03 (1.01-1.06) .011
Length of NAC, d
<105 NA 0.93 (0.66-1.30) .85 1.05 (0.67-1.66) .01 NA 0.88 (0.57-1.36) .06
105-143 NA 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference]
≥144 NA 1.02 (0.73-1.42) 1.74 (1.15-2.62) NA 1.42 (0.96-2.09)
Radiotherapy
Received radiotherapy NA 1 [Reference] .82 1 [Reference] .35 NA 1 [Reference] .91
Did not receive radiotherapy NA 0.95 (0.60-1.50) 1.29 (0.76-2.19) NA 0.97 (0.56-1.67)
Total nodes removed, continuous NA 1.02 (1.00-1.03) .08 1.00 (0.98-1.03) .68 NA 1.00 (0.98-1.02) .82
Total positive nodes, continuous NA 1.03 (1.00-1.06) .06 1.02 (0.98-1.06) .40 NA 1.01 (0.97-1.05) .61

Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared); HR, hazard ratio; NA, not applicable; NAC, neoadjuvant chemotherapy.