Table 2.

Coefficient estimates from multinomial logistic regression predicting out-migration, by destination

Independent variable	Specification A
	In-province	Out-province
Temperaturea	−3.0477 **	−1.1712
Monsoon onset delayc	0.0304 **	0.0145
Sex
Male
Female	0.0076	-0.6047 ***
Age	-0.0693 ***	-0.0847 ***
Education (years)
0–6
7–11	0.4055 ***	0.1910
12+	0.6674 ***	0.4354 **
Marital status
Unmarried or estranged
Married	−0.5937 ***	−0.2774
Number of moves since age 12	0.2058 ***	0.2011 ***
Resides in same province as age 12
Yes
No	0.2267 **	1.2325 ***
Value of household assets (ln)	−0.0170	−0.0015
Household owns non-farm business
No
Yes	−0.1162 +	−0.3307 **
Household owns farm business
No
Yes	−0.2881 ***	−0.3833 **
Rural status
Urban
Rural	0.1646	−0.6681
Period
1993/4–1997/8
1997/8–2000	0.6867 ***	0.2094
2000–2004	0.8129 ***	0.7699 **
Constant	0.0555	1.8230
N (person-periods)	27,914
Joint test of climate vars. (Chi2)	10.35 **	1.14
Psuedo R2	0.1872
Log pseudolikelihood	−9085.4487

^***p<0.001,

^**p<0.05,

⁺p<0.1

Values are coefficient estimates from a multinomial logistic regression

^aDeviation of annual mean temperature from long-term mean (°C), 4 year mean

^bDeviation of annual rainfall from long-term mean (cm), 4 year mean

^cMonsoon onset delay (days), 4 year mean

All models also include community fixed effects