. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 Jul 24.

Published in final edited form as: Popul Environ. 2016 Oct 20;39(2):147–172. doi: 10.1007/s11111-016-0265-8

Table 3.

Coefficient estimates from multinomial logistic regression predicting out-migration, summary of interaction models by destination

Independent variable	Specification B		Specification C		Specification D		Specification E
	In-province	Out-province	In-province	Out-province	In-province	Out-province	In-province	Out-province
Temperature^a	−3 9494 ^***	−0.8301	−3.4171 ^***	−1.4881	−4.5603 ^**	0.9958	−2.7774 ^**	−1.2624
Monsoon onset delay^b	0.0369 ^**	0.0008	0.0409 ^**	0.0325	0.0813 ^**	0.1107	0.0313 ^**	0.0333
Female × temperature^a	1.7301 ^***	−0.7896
Female × monsoon onset delay^b	−0.0125	0.0314
Household owns farm × temperature^a			1.1812	0.5822
Household owns farm × monsoon onset delay^b			−0.0341 ^**	−0.0527
Household wealth × temperature^a					0.1001	−0.1280
Household wealth × monsoon onset delay^b					−0.0033	−0.0062
Java × temperature^a							−0.8212	2.1843
Java × monsoon onset delay^b							0.0015	−0.0879 ^**
Sex
Male
Female	−0.0657	−0.5530 ^***
Value of household assets (In)					−0.0192	0.0020
Household owns farm business
No
Yes			−0.3709 ^***	−0.4806 ^**
N (person-periods)	27,194		27,194		27,194		27,194
Joint test of climate and interaction vars. (Chi²)	22.38 ^***	4.34	14 92 ^**	3.48	12.44 ^**	2.76	12.55 ^**	6.94
Joint test of interaction vars. (Chi²)	11.55 ^**	3.41	4.68 ⁺	1.81	2.18 ^**	1.24	1.23	6.15 ^**
Psuedo R²	0.1878		0.1877		0.1874		0.1877
Log pseudolikelihood	−9079.2601		−9080.3738		−9083.495		−9079.8141

^***

p<0.001,

^**

p<0.05,

⁺

p<0.1

Values are coefficient estimates from a multinomial logistic regression

Deviation of annual mean temperature from long-term mean (°C), 4 year meanValues

Monsoon onset delay (days), 4 year mean

All models also include community fixed effects and control variables listed in Tables 1 and 2