Table 3.

Results from the sensitivity analyses

	Aged 4–5		Aged 10–11
	IRRa	95% CIb	IRR	95% CI
Analysis 1:
Per capita spend [2013/14]
Childhood obesity	1.000	[0.998, 1.002]	0.999	[0.998, 1.000]
Children's physical activity	1.000	[0.999, 1.001]	1.001*	[1.000, 1.002]
Children Public Health Programme	1.000	[0.999, 1.001]	1.000	[1.000, 1.001]
Analysis 2:
Terciles of mean per capita spend [2013/14 to 2014/15]
Childhood obesity: medium	1.002	[0.974, 1.030]	0.994	[0.976, 1.012]
Childhood obesity: high	0.990	[0.963, 1.019]	0.989	[0.968, 1.009]
Children's physical activity: medium	1.028*	[1.001, 1.056]	0.996	[0.978, 1.014]
Children's physical activity: high	1.024	[0.992, 1.057]	1.001	[0.981, 1.021]
Children Public Health Programme: medium	1.020	[0.991, 1.050]	1.007	[0.988, 1.026]
Children Public Health Programme: high	1.021	[0.990, 1.053]	1.003	[0.980, 1.027]
Analysis 3:
% total public health spend [2013/14]
(Childhood obesity + Children's physical activity + Children Public Health Programme) / Total public health spend	1.001	[0.998, 1.003]	1.001	[1.000, 1.003]

Exponentiated coefficients from negative binomial model.

^* P < 0.05.

All variables are for 2016/17, unless stated otherwise.

^aIRR: Incidence rate ratios (values above 1 indicate a positive effect, values below 1 show a negative effect).

^bCI: Confidence interval.