Table 4.

Cost saved after expanding the voluntary medical male circumcision compared to the baseline under different coverage rates ^{&, #}

Year	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	Total cost
cost at baseline*	150964.0	240589.4	342848.3	456249.4	580836.7	720089.6	872089.2	1035904.8	1213026.9	1403026.6	1608538.4	8624163.3
cost saved at 0.0005	34.2	35.9	12.5	13.6	−39.0	−94.5	−153.9	−275.1	−464.3	−664.1	−939.5	−2534.2
cost saved at 0.001	77.2	56.4	59.8	−15.0@	−148.2	−289.2	−495.9	−802.4	−1187.8	−1688.5	−2346.1	−6779.8
cost saved at 0.005	394.3	339.9	179.5	−121.7	−681.8	−1497.0	−2646.4	−4244.8	−6330.4	−9002.1	−12309.3	−35919.9
cost saved at 0.01	816.6	704.5	380.5	−251.6	−1295.4	−2928.4	−5257.6	−8399.5	−12571.8	−17885.3	−24468.4	−71156.3
cost saved at 0.05	3906.9	3182.7	1449.9	−1742.4	−6825.9	−14532.8	−25339.2	−39737.5	−58292.4	−81479.3	−110194.4	−329604.4
cost saved at 0.1	7431.9	5674.5	2059.9	−4199.3	−13871.8	−28111.9	−47617.0	−73032.5	−105352.3	−145143.2	−193530.9	−595692.5
cost saved at 0.15	10619.0	7571.8	2015.2	−7121.5	−20780.8	−40428.3	−66862.7	−100808.7	−143304.5	−194958.7	−257033.0	−811092.2

Notes:

^&in 1,000 US dollars;

^#if the cost at any given voluntary medical male circumcision coverage rate is higher than the baseline, the number is positive, which means not economically desirable; if the cost is lower than the baseline, the number is negative, which means economically desirable;

^*total cost at the baseline when λ1=0.0001

^@breakeven point for the economically desirable of voluntary medical male circumcision (when λ=0.001 at the year of 2019).