Table 4.
Age | Season | Method 1 (currently used method) |
Method 2 |
Method 3 |
Difference in averted cases compared with method 1, % |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. of averted cases | Averted % | No. of averted cases | Averted % | No. of averted cases | Averted % | Method 2 vs. Method 1 | Method 3 vs. Method 1 | ||
All | 2010–11 | 5,039,277 | 20.0 | 5,593,760 | 21.7 | 5,588,717 | 21.7 | 11.0 | 10.9 |
2011–12 | 1,981,571 | 18.2 | 2,179,701 | 19.7 | 2,179,404 | 19.7 | 10.0 | 10.0 | |
2012–13 | 5,628,332 | 14.0 | 5,838,328 | 14.5 | 5,831,551 | 14.5 | 3.7 | 3.6 | |
2013–14 | 6,683,929 | 19.5 | 7,199,195 | 20.6 | 7,192,944 | 20.6 | 7.7 | 7.6 | |
2014–15 | 1,607,848 | 4.6 | 1,560,287 | 4.5 | 1,559,520 | 4.5 | −3.0 | −3.0 | |
2015–16 | 5,083,498 | 17.2 | 5,645,614 | 18.8 | 5,642,695 | 18.8 | 11.1 | 11.0 | |
2016–17 | 5,288,312 | 14.8 | 5,713,451 | 15.8 | 5,709,538 | 15.8 | 8.0 | 8.0 | |
Median | 17.2 | 18.8 | 18.8 | 8.0 | 8.0 | ||||
6 m-4 y | 2010–11 | 965,327 | 33.7 | 1,203,220 | 38.8 | 1,200,195 | 38.7 | 24.6 | 24.3 |
2011–12 | 241,406 | 27.7 | 282,620 | 30.9 | 282,496 | 30.9 | 17.1 | 17.0 | |
2012–13 | 799,295 | 23.4 | 883,121 | 25.3 | 880,887 | 25.2 | 10.5 | 10.2 | |
2013–14 | 741,609 | 30.6 | 875,027 | 34.2 | 873,252 | 34.2 | 18.0 | 17.8 | |
2014–15 | 134,300 | 6.1 | 130,283 | 6.0 | 130,173 | 6.0 | −3.0 | −3.1 | |
2015–16 | 980,052 | 32.3 | 1,212,842 | 37.1 | 1,211,129 | 37.1 | 23.8 | 23.6 | |
2016–17 | 602,072 | 23.8 | 678,393 | 26.1 | 677,793 | 26.0 | 12.7 | 12.6 | |
Median | 27.7 | 30.9 | 30.9 | 17.1 | 17.0 | ||||
5–17 y | 2010–11 | 1,350,617 | 23.0 | 1,500,044 | 24.9 | 1,498,908 | 24.9 | 11.1 | 11.0 |
2011–12 | 490,865 | 20.0 | 540,115 | 21.6 | 540,075 | 21.6 | 10.0 | 10.0 | |
2012–13 | 1,506,488 | 18.1 | 1,595,647 | 19.0 | 1,593,335 | 19.0 | 5.9 | 5.8 | |
2013–14 | 1,081,574 | 21.9 | 1,179,996 | 23.4 | 1,179,153 | 23.4 | 9.1 | 9.0 | |
2014–15 | 356,330 | 5.0 | 345,777 | 4.8 | 345,565 | 4.8 | −3.0 | −3.0 | |
2015–16 | 1,281,134 | 24.3 | 1,454,669 | 26.7 | 1,454,025 | 26.7 | 13.5 | 13.5 | |
2016–17 | 1,920,214 | 23.8 | 2,165,577 | 26.1 | 2,163,846 | 26.0 | 12.8 | 12.7 | |
Median | 21.9 | 23.4 | 23.4 | 10.0 | 10.0 | ||||
18–49 y | 2010–11 | 1,093,537 | 13.2 | 1,125,819 | 13.5 | 1,125,608 | 13.5 | 3.0 | 2.9 |
2011–12 | 445,893 | 11.5 | 462,906 | 11.9 | 462,877 | 11.9 | 3.8 | 3.8 | |
2012–13 | 1,397,741 | 10.4 | 1,381,399 | 10.3 | 1,380,769 | 10.3 | −1.2 | −1.2 | |
2013–14 | 2,174,882 | 14.8 | 2,220,864 | 15.0 | 2,219,686 | 15.0 | 2.1 | 2.1 | |
2014–15 | 322,419 | 2.9 | 305,897 | 2.8 | 305,825 | 2.8 | −5.1 | −5.1 | |
2015–16 | 1,591,114 | 14.1 | 1,671,719 | 14.7 | 1,671,462 | 14.7 | 5.1 | 5.0 | |
2016–17 | 526,812 | 5.6 | 523,433 | 5.6 | 523,348 | 5.6 | −0.6 | −0.7 | |
Median | 11.5 | 11.9 | 11.9 | 2.1 | 2.1 | ||||
50–64 y | 2010–11 | 1,169,470 | 19.7 | 1,261,901 | 20.9 | 1,261,355 | 20.9 | 7.9 | 7.9 |
2011–12 | 488,982 | 20.5 | 537,764 | 22.1 | 537,698 | 22.1 | 10.0 | 10.0 | |
2012–13 | 1,631,408 | 15.7 | 1,687,342 | 16.2 | 1,685,819 | 16.2 | 3.4 | 3.3 | |
2013–14 | 2,213,864 | 21.6 | 2,400,974 | 23.0 | 2,398,707 | 23.0 | 8.5 | 8.3 | |
2014–15 | 355,391 | 4.2 | 344,114 | 4.1 | 343,946 | 4.1 | −3.2 | −3.2 | |
2015–16 | 743,725 | 9.6 | 765,353 | 9.9 | 765,189 | 9.9 | 2.9 | 2.9 | |
2016–17 | 1,635,009 | 15.6 | 1,723,831 | 16.3 | 1,722,608 | 16.3 | 5.4 | 5.4 | |
Median | 15.7 | 16.3 | 16.3 | 5.4 | 5.4 | ||||
≥65 y | 2010–11 | 460,327 | 20.9 | 502,777 | 22.4 | 502,651 | 22.4 | 9.2 | 9.2 |
2011–12 | 314,425 | 24.5 | 356,296 | 26.9 | 356,258 | 26.9 | 13.3 | 13.3 | |
2012–13 | 293,400 | 6.4 | 290,819 | 6.4 | 290,741 | 6.4 | −0.9 | −0.9 | |
2013–14 | 472,000 | 23.6 | 522,334 | 25.5 | 522,146 | 25.5 | 10.7 | 10.6 | |
2014–15 | 439,408 | 7.1 | 434,215 | 7.0 | 434,011 | 7.0 | −1.2 | −1.2 | |
2015–16 | 487,473 | 22.4 | 541,031 | 24.3 | 540,890 | 24.3 | 11.0 | 11.0 | |
2016–17 | 604,205 | 11.5 | 622,218 | 11.8 | 621,943 | 11.8 | 3.0 | 2.9 | |
Median | 20.9 | 22.4 | 22.4 | 9.2 | 9.2 |
Abbreviations: m, months; y, years.
Methods 1–3 are defined in Supplemental Tables 1–2 and the Methods section of text.