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. 2018 Nov 12;69(4):631–638. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciy970

Table 2.

Biomarker Performance Characteristics for Baseline Detection of High-grade Squamous Intraepithelial Lesion/Anal Intraepithelial Neoplasia Grades 2 and 3, Overall and by Age Group

Biomarker (% positive) <HSIL/AIN2 (n) HSIL/AIN2+ (n) Sensitivity (%) Specificity (%)
HR-HPV (79.1) 255 104 100.0 29.4
 <50 years (86.9) 102 43 100.0 18.6
 ≥50 years (73.8) 149 61 100.0 36.9
HPV16/18 (38.4) 255 104 64.4 72.2
 <50 years (44.1) 102 43 67.4 65.7
 ≥50 years (34.8) 149 61 62.3 76.5
Dual staina (69.0) 229 103 93.2 41.9
 <50 years (77.1) 97 43 97.7 32.0
 ≥50 years (63.0) 129 60 90.0 49.6
HPV E6/E7 mRNA (47.5) 255 103 79.6 65.5
 <50 years (55.6) 101 43 83.7 56.4
 ≥50 years (41.9) 150 60 76.7 72.0
Cytologyc (67.0) 237 102 91.2 43.5
 <50 years (70.1) 95 42 95.2 41.1
 ≥50 years (64.7) 138 60 88.3 45.7
Biomarker combinations b
Dual stain or HPV16/18 (75.5) 239 104 96.2 33.5
 <50 years (83.0) 98 43 100.0 24.5
 ≥50 years (70.2) 137 61 93.4 40.2
Dual stain and HPV16/18 (31.0) 245 103 60.0 83.8
 <50 years (38.2) 101 43 65.1 73.3
 ≥50 years (26.4) 141 60 58.3 87.2
Dual stain or E6/E7 mRNA (74.8) 233 104 96.2 34.8
 <50 years (81.3) 96 43 100.0 27.1
 ≥50 years (70.1) 133 61 93.4 40.6
Dual stain and E6/E7 mRNA (41.6) 251 102 76.5 72.5
 <50 years (51.7) 102 43 81.4 60.8
 ≥50 years (34.6) 146 59 72.9 80.8
HPV16/18 or E6/67 mRNA (55.2) 253 104 85.6 57.3
 <50 years (62.5) 101 43 88.4 48.5
 ≥50 years (50.2) 148 61 83.6 63.5

Counts may not sum to 363 due to missing biomarker data.

Abbreviations: AIN2, anal intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2; AIN2+, anal intraepithelial neoplasia grades 2 and 3; ASC-US+, atypical cells of undetermined significance or more severe cytology; HPV, human papillomavirus; HR-HPV, high-risk HPV; HSIL, high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion; mRNA, messenger RNA.

a

The threshold for a p16/Ki-67 dual stain was 1 positive cell.

b

Biomarkers can either be combined as positive for at least 1 (ie, “or”) or positive for both (ie, “and”).

c

The threshold for cytology was ASC-US+.