Table 5.
Log marginal likelihood values for models with different calibration schemes.
| Model | ln L | 2 ln BFa |
|---|---|---|
| Transmission | −2124.3 | – |
| Co-divergence CMV1 and CMV2 | −2132.7 | 16.8 |
| Co-divergence CMV1 | −2126.2 | 3.8 |
| Co-divergence CMV2 | −2131.9 | 15.2 |
a
BF calculations all correspond to comparisons to the best model (transmission model). 2 ln BF > 0 indicates a better performance of the transmission model; 2 ln BF > 10 indicates decisive support. The values presented were all obtained using stepping stone sampling; values obtained with path sampling were very similar. All models were run using a lognormal relaxed clock, which we previously identified as one of the two best-performing clock models.