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. 2019 Jul 30;93(16):e00620-19. doi: 10.1128/JVI.00620-19

TABLE 5.

Model comparison by BEAST analysisa

Molecular clock model Demographic model Mutation rate 95% HPD Log marginal likelihood (SS) Log marginal likelihood (PS)
Relaxed clock, exponential Coalescent exponential population 1.045 × 10−4 5.6508 × 10−5, 1.6026 × 10−4 −23,632.61 −23,632.33
Relaxed clock, log normal Coalescent exponential population 1.5723 × 10−4 6.6297 × 10−5, 2.6341 × 10−4 −23,632.24 −23,631.94
Relaxed clock, exponential Coalescent Bayesian skyline 1.225 × 10−4 6.8056 × 10−5, 1.8561 × 10−4 −23,622.27 −23,621.7
Relaxed clock, normal Coalescent Bayesian skyline 1.257 × 10−4 7.4641 × 10−5, 1.8208 × 10−4 −23,623.27 −23,623.38
Strict Coalescent exponential population 5.4535 × 10−5 4.3983 × 10−5, 6.5605 × 10−5 −23,757.07 −23,756.55
Strict Coalescent Bayesian skyline 5.476 × 10−5 4.2365 × 10−5, 6.7008 × 10−5 −23,746.58 −23,746.95
a

95% HPD, 95% highest posterior density; SS, stepping-stone sampling; PS, path sampling.