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. 2019 Jul 29;9(7):e029675. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2019-029675

Table 2.

Risk of mental health (MH)-related events and diagnoses when exposed to different levels of child protection involvement

Any MH event MH-related event MH diagnosis
Characteristics Univariate Multivariate Univariate Multivariate Univariate Multivariate
HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI)* HR (95% CI)* HR (95% CI)* HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI)*
Gender
 Female 0.93 (0.91 to 0.95) 0.92 (0.90 to 0.94) 1.10 (1.08 to 1.13) 1.11 (1.08 to 1.15) 0.86 (0.84 to 0.88) 0.84 (0.82 to 0.87)
 Male Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
Aboriginality
 Non-aboriginal Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
 Aboriginal 4.20 (4.08 to 4.33) 1.65 (1.58 to 1.73) 6.26 (6.05 to 6.48) 2.21 (2.10 to 2.32) 2.03 (1.94 to 2.12) 0.95 (0.89 to 1.01)
Socioeconomic status (SES)
 1 (Most dis-adv) 2.63 (2.53 to 2.73) 1.38 (1.32 to 1.44) 3.26 (3.10 to 3.42) 1.46 (1.38 to 1.55) 1.96 (1.87 to 2.06) 1.24 (1.17 to 1.30)
 2 1.62 (1.56 to 1.69) 1.20 (1.15 to 1.25) 1.74 (1.65 to 1.83) 1.22 (1.16 to 1.29) 1.51 (1.44 to 1.59) 1.17 (1.11 to 1.23)
 3 1.37 (1.31 to 1.43) 1.13 (1.08 to 1.18) 1.40 (1.32 to 1.48) 1.12 (1.06 to 1.19) 1.30 (1.23 to 1.37) 1.11 (1.05 to 1.17)
 4 1.21 (1.15 to 1.26) 1.09 (1.04 to 1.14) 1.23 (1.16 to 1.30) 1.09 (1.03 to 1.16) 1.18 (1.12 to 1.25) 1.07 (1.01 to 1.13)
 5 (least dis-adv) Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
Parental marital status at birth
 Single 2.48 (2.42 to 2.55) 1.16 (1.11 to 1.20) 2.80 (2.71 to 2.89) 1.16 (1.11 to 1.22) 2.12 (2.05 to 2.20) 1.15 (1.10 to 1.21)
 Married/defacto Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
Maternal age at birth
 <20 years 3.14 (3.03 to 3.25) 1.24 (1.18 to 1.31) 3.87 (3.71 to 4.03) 1.28 (1.19 to 1.37) 2.39 (2.28 to 2.50) 1.18 (1.10 to 1.26)
 20–29 years 1.44 (1.40 to 1.47) 1.06 (1.03 to 1.09) 1.53 (1.49 to 1.58) 1.06 (1.02 to 1.11) 1.33 (1.29 to 1.36) 1.05 (1.01 to 1.09)
 >29 years Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
Paternal age at birth
 <20 years 2.69 (2.54 to 2.86) 0.97 (0.89 to 1.04) 3.38 (3.15 to 3.62) 0.98 (0.89 to 1.08) 2.04 (1.89 to 2.22) 0.95 (0.86 to 1.05)
 20–29 years 1.47 (1.44 to 1.51) 1.08 (1.05 to 1.12) 1.56 (1.52 to 1.61) 1.08 (1.04 to 1.12) 1.38 (1.34 to 1.42) 1.08 (1.05 to 1.12)
 >29 years Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
Maternal MH contact
 No Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
 Yes 2.86 (2.80 to 2.94) 1.89 (1.84 to 1.95) 2.84 (2.75 to 2.93) 1.69 (1.62 to 1.75) 3.00 (2.91 to 3.09) 2.15 (2.08 to 2.23)
Maternal substance contact
 No Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
 Yes 3.74 (3.64 to 3.85) 1.42 (1.36 to 1.47) 4.58 (4.43 to 4.74) 1.55 (1.48 to 1.62) 2.85 (2.75 to 2.95) 1.27 (1.21 to 1.33)
Paternal MH contact
 No Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
 Yes 2.00 (1.94 to 2.06) 1.42 (1.37 to 1.47) 1.97 (1.90 to 2.04) 1.35 (1.29 to 1.41) 2.14 (2.06 to 2.22) 1.56 (1.49 to 1.63)
Paternal substance contact
 No Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
 Yes 2.24 (2.17 to 2.30) 1.30 (1.25 to 1.35) 2.51 (2.42 to 2.60) 1.39 (1.33 to 1.45) 1.98 (1.91 to 2.06) 1.20 (1.14 to 1.26)
Child protection involvement
 No involvement Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
 Unsubstantiated allegation 3.98 (3.82 to 4.15) 2.24 (2.13 to 2.36) 4.46 (4.25 to 4.68) 2.31 (2.18 to 2.46) 3.41 (3.23 to 3.59) 2.18 (2.05 to 2.32)
 Substantiated allegation 5.34 (5.09 to 5.61) 2.71 (2.55 to 2.89) 6.36 (6.01 to 6.73) 2.84 (2.63 to 3.05) 4.28 (4.02 to 4.55) 2.69 (2.49 to 2.90)
 Substantiated allegation
 and entered out-of-home
 care
8.45 (8.07 to 8.85) 3.03 (2.83 to 3.24) 10.90 (10.36 to 11.47) 3.54 (3.28 to 3.82) 5.86 (5.53 to 6.20) 2.65 (2.45 to 2.87)

*All other covariates included (aboriginality, gender, SES, parent marital status at birth, maternal age at birth, paternal age at birth, maternal MH contact, maternal substance-related contact, paternal MH contact, paternal substance-related contact).