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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Sep 1.
Published in final edited form as: Dig Liver Dis. 2019 Feb 3;51(9):1330–1336. doi: 10.1016/j.dld.2019.01.017

Table 2.

Longitudinal associations between liver scores’ risk classes at baseline and incidence of overall and cause-specific mortality and disability at 6 years’ follow-up.

NFS FIB-4 BARD AST/ALT ratio
HR (95%CI) aHR (95%CI) HR (95%CI) aHR (95%CI) HR (95%CI) aHR (95%CI) HR (95%CI) aHR (95%CI)
Overall M
Low risk ref ref ref ref ref ref ref ref
Interm risk 1.64 (1.2–2.24) 1.78 (1.29–2.47) 1.51 (1.16–1.96) 1.34 (1.02–1.77) 2.43 (1.38–4.27) 1.49 (0.81–2.72) 1.8 (1.07–3.04) 2.02 (1.19–3.44)
High risk 2.14 (1.64–2.78) 1.6 (1.21–2.1) 2.86 (2.12–3.85) 2.02 (1.47–2.77) 2.9 (1.55–5.42) 1.81 (1.10–2.93) 2.61 (1.61–4.22) 1.74 (1.06–2.86)
CV mortality
Low risk ref ref ref ref ref ref ref ref
Interm risk 2.32 (1.47–3.67) 2.9 (1.8–4.66) 1.96 (1.33–2.9) 1.76 (1.17–2.64) 2.21 (0.9–5.41) 0.97 (0.38–2.46) 1.53 (0.62–3.77) 1.15 (0.46–2.86)
High risk 3.24 (2.2–4.77) 2.42 (1.61–3.64) 3.57 (2.27–5.62) 2.22 (1.36–3.6) 3.29 (1.25–8.66) 1.23 (0.45–3.38) 3.34 (1.47–7.59) 1.27 (0.54–2.96)
RR (95%CI) aRR (95%CI) RR (95%CI) aRR (95%CI) RR (95%CI) aRR (95%CI) RR (95%CI) aRR (95%CI)
Disability at 6 y*
Low risk ref ref ref ref ref ref ref ref
Interm risk 1.39 (0.64–2.7) 1.37 (0.62–2.71) 1.3 (0.69–2.32) 1.3 (0.68–2.35) 6.25 (1.38–110.5) 2.80 (0.60–49.9) 1.64 (0.52–7.2) 1.31 (0.42–5.79)
High risk 2.04 (1.11–3.57) 1.93 (1.13–2.93) 3.69 (1.95–6.57) 2.76 (1.38–5.19) 5.8 (1.06–107.6) 2.33 (0.40–44.2) 3.41 (1.26–13.98) 1.49 (0.53–6.23)

Adjusted(a-) models corrected for age, sex, body mass index, arterial hypertension, diabetes mellitus, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, congestive heart failure, total cholesterol, Charlson comorbidity index, physical activity, alcohol consumption, smoke, IL-6 and TNF-alpha. Age was not considered in models with NFS and FIB4 and diabetes mellitus and body mass index were not considered in models with NFS and BARD, because already included in the liver scores, themselves.

*

Disable patients (N 49) at baseline were excluded.