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. 2019 May 15;30:54–66. doi: 10.1016/j.tmaid.2019.05.009

Table 2.

Average monthly percentage changes between 2015 actual and projected (average of 2013 and 2014) non-citizen arrivals to the Republic of Korea (ROK) by whether the country had 100 or more severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) cases during the 2003 outbreak.

Months The 2015 Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) outbreak status SARS ≥100 cases (n = 5)
SARS <100 cases (n = 13)
p-value
% SE % SE
Jan Before the MERS outbreak
21.7 9.8 3.0 4.9 0.934
Feb 31.1 13.6 1.7 4.3 0.954
Mar 28.4 7.8 7.5 5.8 0.973
Apr 38.5 7.0 15.4 5.2 0.988

May First MERS case reported May 20, 2015 30.2 9.9 9.2 3.5 0.952

Jun Peak months of the MERS outbreak
−52.4 9.8 −23.3 2.9 0.018
Jul
−60.0 11.0 −31.4 4.7 0.026

Aug Non-peak months of the MERS outbreak −28.5 7.8 −3.8 10.2 0.035
Sep 6.7 12.7 −4.4 4.7 0.776
Oct 6.5 10.6 8.1 5.1 0.446
Nov 11.4 7.5 10.3 5.7 0.548
Dec 9.5 8.6 5.7 3.3 0.655

Notes: Non-citizen arrivals are limited to non-citizen short-term visitor arrivals. Monthly percentage changes were calculated by the following equation. Actual(withtheMERSoutbreak)Projected(iftherewasnoMERSoutbreak)Projected(iftherewasnoMERSoutbreak)×100%

SE stands for standard error. Boldface indicates statistical significance (p < 0.05). Areas in the ≥100 SARS cases category are China, Taiwan–China, Hong Kong SAR–China, Singapore, and Canada.