. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Jun 1.

Published in final edited form as: Energy Policy. 2019 Jun;129:1404–1415. doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2019.02.051

Table 4.

Goodness-of-prediction measures.

	2010		2016

	NML	Simple	NML	Simple

Kullback-Leibler Divergence	0.351	0.212	0.659	0.271
Mean Squared Error	9.820E–06	5.330E–06	1.330E–04	2.510E–05
Average Share Error	0.001127	0.000842	0.004599	0.002967
Right Direction	63%		72%