Table 3.

Receiver operating characteristic analysis of models predicting previous fracture based on combinations of BMD, bone microarchitectural and FEA parameters

Model	Predictors	AUC (95% CI)
Men
1	Femoral neck aBMD	0.61 (0.52, 0.68)
2	Femoral neck aBMD	0.67 (0.60, 0.75)
	Total area
	Cortical thickness
	Trabecular separation
Women
1	Femoral neck aBMD	0.70 (0.63, 0.78)
2	Femoral neck aBMD	0.76 (0.69, 0.83)
	Cortical area
	Cortical porosity
	Trabecular density
	Trabecular thickness
3	Femoral neck aBMD	0.78 (0.70, 0.84)
	Cortical area
	Cortical porosity
	Trabecular density
	Trabecular thickness
	Bone failure load
	Young modulus
	Von Mises stresses (trabecular)

aBMD areal bone mineral density; FEA finite element analysis; AUC area under receiver operator characteristic curve