Table 3A.
The mean (95% Cl) length of various FMD infection phases obtained from the best-fit Accelerated Failure Time (AFT) model.
| FMD phases | Serotype | Exposure method | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O | Asia1 | A | CTC | PTC | IDL | SN | |
| THRESHOLD-DEFINED APPROACH | |||||||
| Incubation | 3.1 (2.7–3.6) | 3.1 (2.6–3.7) | 4 (3.5–4.4) | 5.2 (4.2–6.4) | 3.6 (3.2–4.1) | 1.8 (1.4–2.3) | 4 (3.5–4.3) |
| Latent | 1.6 (1.4–2) | 1.4 (1.2–1.8) | 1.3 (1.1–1.5) | 1.7 (1.3–2.2) | 1.5 (1.3–1.8) | 1.3 (1–1.8) | 1.3 (1.2–1.5) |
| Subclinical infectious | 2.1 (1.6–2.6) | 1.8 (1.4–2.4) | 3.1 (2.5–3.8) | 3.6 (2.7–5) | 2.4 (2–2.8) | 1.2 (0.7–2.1) | 2.6 (2.2–3) |
| Clinical infectious | 7.8 (6.6–9.1) | 8.6 (6.7–11) | 8.4 (7.4–9.6) | 6 (4.5–8) | 9 (7.7–10.5) | 9.5 (7.1–12.6) | 9 (8–10.2) |
| Total infectious | 9.6 (8.3–11) | 10.7 (8.5–13.4) | 11.2 (10–12.6) | 10 (7.7–13) | 11 (9.5–12.5) | 9.4 (7.3–12.1) | 11.7 (10.4–13.1) |
| NON-THRESHOLD APPROACH | |||||||
| Incubation | 3.2 (2.8–3.6) | 3.1 (2.7–3.7) | 4 (3.5–4.4) | 5.2 (4.3–6.4) | 3.6 (3.2–4.1) | 1.8 (1.4–2.3) | 4 (3.5–4.3) |
| Latent | 1.3 (1.1–1.5) | 1.2 (1–1.4) | 1.3 (1.2–1.5) | 1.7 (1.3–2.1) | 1.3 (1.1–1.5) | 1 (0.8–1.3) | 1.2 (1.1–1.3) |
| Subclinical infectious | 2.1 (1.8–2.5) | 2 (1.6–2.4) | 3 (2.5–3.6) | 3.7 (2.8–4.8) | 2.6 (2.2–3.0) | 1.1 (0.8–1.7) | 2.7 (2.3–3) |
| Clinical infectious | 9.9 (8–12.4) | 10.1 (7.1–14.3) | 10.7 (8.7–13.3) | 6.6 (4.7–9.2) | 10.8 (9–13.1) | 13.8 (7.8–24.6) | 11.1 (9.3–13.3) |
| Total infectious | 12.2 (10–15) | 12.5 (9.2–17.1) | 13.6 (11.3–16.5) | 10.4 (7.7–14) | 12.9 (10.9–15.2) | 14.1 (8.4–23.7) | 14.1 (12–16.5) |
The outcomes are stratified by serotypes and exposure methods for both threshold approaches for definition of infectiousness.