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. 2019 Jul 29;6(3):125–132. doi: 10.1007/s40801-019-0159-z

Table 4.

Number of prevented events and number needed to treata, translated in populations A, B and C, using various trial efficacy metrics estimated using summary data from trials 1 and 2, for drugs 1 and 2

Efficacy metric Drug 1 Drug 2
Trial 1 in population Trial 2 in population Trial 1 in population Trial 2 in population
A B C A B C A B C A B C
NPEpop
 OR 313 282 105 335 302 507 429 313 535 548 400 684
 RR 285 257 148 325 293 492 285 208 356 448 327 560
 AB 100 90 151 63 57 96 100 73 125 87 64 109
NNTpop
 RR 100 111 107 88 97 94 100 137 130 64 87 83

Example of interpretation: the true NPE for population 2 and drug 2, directly computed on the Rc distribution in population 2 with the Wang model (see Sect. 2) is 1265. The NPE in this population with drug 2 computed with the AB from trial 2 summary data is 1382. The ratio 1382/1265 in percent is 109%. It gives the value of the bias in estimating population C NPE with the AB computed on trial data. As it is often done in translation process, RR computed from trial summary data is used for translating the efficacy of new drug. In the considered case, this gives a translated NPE = 7084, thus a bias ratio = 560%

AB absolute benefit, N population size, NNT number needed to treat, NNTpop number needed to treat in the population, NPEpop number of prevented events in the population, OR odds ratio, RR relative risk

aThe NPE and NNT are expressed as a percentage of the true values