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. 2019 Aug 21;154(10):e193019. doi: 10.1001/jamasurg.2019.3019

Table 5. Multivariable Models for Overall Survival, Surgical Hospitalization Costs, and High Value.

Variable Survivala Costsb High Valuec
aHR (95% CI) P Value Estimate (95% CI) P Value aOR (95% CI) P Value
Age 1.01 (1.01 to 1.02) <.001 0.000 (−0.001 to 0.001) .90 0.99 (0.98 to 1.00) .06
Sex
Male 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA
Female 0.91 (0.83 to 0.99) .02 −0.02 (−0.04 to 0.01) .17 1.10 (1.01 to 1.19) .048
Race
White 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA
Asian/Pacific Islander 1.01 (0.88 to 1.16) .88 −0.04 (−0.10 to 0.01) .10 0.92 (0.42 to 1.41) .73
Black 1.08 (0.90 to 1.31) .40 0.02 (−0.04 to 0.09) .44 1.02 (0.48 to 1.56) .94
Other/unknown 0.84 (0.44 to 1.58) .58 −0.10 (−0.29 to 0.10) .34 1.11 (0.00 to 2.36) .87
Socioeconomic status
Low 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA
Low to middle 1.01 (0.88 to 1.15) .90 −0.01 (−0.05 to 0.03) .69 0.87 (0.65 to 1.09) .22
Middle 0.95 (0.83 to 1.09) .46 −0.01 (−0.05 to 0.03) .62 0.94 (0.77 to 1.11) .47
Middle to high 0.92 (0.80 to 1.05) .22 0.02 (−0.03 to 0.07) .39 1.13 (0.90 to 1.36) .30
High 0.89 (0.77 to 1.02) .08 −0.02 (−0.08 to 0.03) .39 1.25 (1.06 to 1.44) .02
Elixhauser comorbidity index 1.01 (1.01 to 1.02) <.001 0.006 (0.003 to 0.008) <.001 0.97 (0.95 to 0.98) <.001
Grade
Well differentiated 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA
Moderately differentiated 1.49 (1.28 to 1.73) <.001 −0.03 (−0.09 to 0.03) .40 1.06 (0.89 to 1.23) .49
Poorly differentiated or undifferentiated 1.84 (1.57 to 2.16) <.001 −0.03 (−0.10 to 0.05) .46 0.65 (0.39 to 0.91) .001
T category
T1 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA
T2 1.26 (1.03 to 1.55) .03 0.01 (−0.06 to 0.08) .40 1.20 (0.99 to 1.41) .10
T3 1.45 (1.16 to 1.80) <.001 0.05 (−0.04 to 0.15) .27 0.71 (0.46 to 0.95) .005
N category
N0 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA
N1 1.47 (1.32 to 1.63) <.001 0.00 (−0.04 to 0.03) .86 0.70 (0.00 to 1.42) .33
AJCC stage
I 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA
II 1.27 (1.02 to 1.57) .03 0.03 (−0.05 to 0.11) .42 0.87 (0.64 to 1.09) .21
Pancreatic resection
Pancreaticoduodenectomy 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA
Distal pancreatectomy 1.03 (0.91 to 1.18) .61 −0.21 (−0.26 to −0.17) <.001 1.31 (0.95 to 1.67) .14
Other pancreatectomy 0.93 (0.73 to 1.18) .55 −0.13 (−0.23 to −0.02) .02 1.72 (1.29 to 2.14) .01
Total pancreatectomy 1.47 (1.18 to 1.82) <.001 0.05 (−0.04 to 0.15) .26 0.40 (0.00 to 1.06) .007
Chemotherapy
None 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA
Postoperative 0.71 (0.64 to 0.79) <.001 −0.06 (−0.11 to −0.02) .006 1.22 (1.02 to 1.43) .05
Preoperative 0.78 (0.61 to 1.01) .06 0.07 (−0.01 to 0.15) .10 0.85 (0.55 to 1.15) .28
Radiotherapy 0.96 (0.87 to 1.06) .40 0.00 (−0.04 to 0.04) .90 0.89 (0.77 to 1.00) .05
NCI-designated cancer center 1.02 (0.82 to 1.28) .84 −0.03 (−0.24 to 0.19) .80 1.07 (0.66 to 1.49) .74
Teaching hospital 1.06 (0.88 to 1.29) .55 0.08 (−0.10 to 0.26) .38 0.84 (0.33 to 1.35) .49
High-volume centerd (≥20) 0.78 (0.61 to 0.99) .04 0.11 (−0.09 to 0.32) .28 1.08 (0.54 to 1.61) .07
Complication within 30 d 1.18 (1.07 to 1.30) .001 0.22 (0.17 to 0.27) <.001 0.68 (0.49 to 0.86) <.001
Readmission within 30 d 1.01 (0.90 to 1.12) .93 0.34 (0.29 to 0.39) <.001 0.64 (0.44 to 0.84) <.001
Length of stay 1.00 (1.00 to 1.00) .94 0.03 (0.03 to 0.04) <.001 0.82 (0.78 to 0.85) <.001

Abbreviations: aHR, adjusted hazard ratio; AJCC, American Joint Committee on Cancer, seventh edition; aOR, adjusted odds ratio; NA, not applicable; NCI, National Cancer Institute.

a

Based on Cox proportional hazards model, adjusted for within-hospital clustering of patients.

b

Includes the index surgical hospitalization and readmissions within 30 days. Cost estimates based on generalized linear model with gamma distribution and log link, adjusted for within-hospital clustering of patients.

c

Defined as the fourth quintile for survival (≥26 months) and second quintile or less for costs (≤$40 674). Odds ratios based on logistic regression model, adjusted for within-hospital clustering of patients.

d

Indicates 20 or more cases annually.