Table 6. Illustrations of the estimates of revenues raised under various scenarios.
| Scenario | First projection year | Projected revenues, US$ | Last projection year | Projected revenues, US$ | Projected revenues as a share of general government expenditure in the first projection year, %a | Projected revenues as a share of GDP, %a |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benin | ||||||
| High scenariob | 2015 | 36 680 738 | 2025 | 75 783 005 | 1.78 | 0.42 |
| Proposed for considerationc | 2015 | 33 444 464 | 2025 | 70 493 807 | 1.62 | 0.38 |
| Mali | ||||||
| Low scenariod | 2016 | 10 478 967 | 2024 | 21 507 687 | 0.32 | 0.09 |
| High scenariod | 2016 | 40 796 954 | 2024 | 86 115 765 | 1.23 | 0.34 |
| Proposed for considerationc | 2016 | 21 478 015 | 2024 | 44 211 372 | 0.65 | 0.18 |
| Mozambique | ||||||
| Low scenario (same as Proposed for considerationc) |
2014 | 34 557 600 | 2019 | 38 267 000 | 0.47 | 0.21 |
| High scenario | 2014 | 38 000 008 | 2019 | 60 981 700 | 0.52 | 0.23 |
| Togo | ||||||
| Low scenariod | 2014 | 5 252 688 | 2024 | 12 092 065 | 0.44 | 0.11 |
| High scenariod | 2014 | 34 029 351 | 2024 | 77 772 288 | 2.88 | 0.74 |
| Proposed for considerationc | 2014 | 15 113 063 | 2024 | 35 894 263 | 1.28 | 0.33 |
GDP: gross domestic product; US$: international United States dollars.
a Revenue as shares of general government expenditure and GDP were calculated based on 2014 data, using the World Health Organization global health expenditure database.25
b In Benin, only a high scenario was calculated.
c Estimates of the basket of mechanisms proposed for policy consideration, listed in Table 3.
d For Mali and Togo, no data were available to project revenues for a new tax on the extractive industries.
Sources: Based on the results of country studies.5–8 Total amounts of revenues per high, low and proposed scenario cases were translated into shares as of general government expenditure and GDP.