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. 2019 Jul 5;8(10):4938–4953. doi: 10.1002/cam4.1879

Table 2.

Multivariable Cox model for HPV‐16 newly detected infections and cervical abnormalities including serostatus at baseline

Risk factor Category Enrollment serostatus (binary)
Incident infection 6‐mo PI 12‐mo PI ASC‐US+
N n Hazard ratio (95% CI) P‐value N n Hazard ratio (95% CI) P‐value N n Hazard ratio (95% CI) P‐value N n Hazard ratio (95% CI) P‐value
HPV‐16 serostatus Negative 1814 114 1 1779 67 1 1755 38 1 1787 43 1
Positive 790 45 0.81 (0.56‐1.16) 0.2559 767 17 0.56 (0.320.99) 0.0446 753 8 0.53 (0.24‐1.16) 0.1123 774 9 0.28 (0.12‐0.67) 0.0043
Age at inclusion 26‐35 1157 94 1 1134 45 1 1109 21 1 1139 33 1
≥36 1157 65 0.58 (0.420.82) 0.0016 1412 39 0.78 (0.50‐1.24) 0.2946 1399 25 0.99 (0.54‐1.82) 0.9817 1423 19 0.57 (0.31‐1.03) 0.0640
Region Europe 505 22 1 495 6 1 491 5 1 500 8 1
Asia Pacific 779 38 1.19 (0.68‐2.08) 0.5445 772 23 2.57 (1.016.52) 0.0476 765 15 1.75 (0.61‐5.05) 0.3004 772 10 0.77 (0.28‐2.10) 0.6065
Latin America 679 43 1.56 (0.90‐2.71) 0.1142 663 29 3.86 (1.549.70) 0.0040 658 16 2.26 (0.79‐6.48) 0.1308 666 18 1.66 (0.65‐4.21) 0.2862
North America 641 56 2.38 (1.423.97) 0.0009 616 26 4.28 (1.7410.54) 0.0015 594 10 1.89 (0.63‐5.66) 0.2575 623 16 1.32 (0.50‐3.46) 0.5716
Age at first sexual intercourse grouped ≥18 1654 98 1 1621 57 1 1600 33 1 1630 32 1
15‐17 817 50 0.85 (0.58‐1.23) 0.3775 799 57 0.62 (0.36‐1.09) 0.0967 784 9 0.56 (0.26‐1.22) 0.1473 804 14 1.05 (0.53‐2.08) 0.8832
<15 127 11 1.08 (0.56‐2.07) 0.8271 120 8 1.48 (0.67‐3.27) 0.3329 118 4 1.30 (0.43‐3.95) 0.6433 121 6 2.20 (0.79‐6.16) 0.1322
Marital status at baseline Living or lived with partner 2227 129 1 2177 69 1 2151 41 1 2190 44 1
Single 377 30 0.79 (0.49‐1.29) 0.3493 369 15 0.89 (0.46‐1.75) 0.7434 357 5 0.70 (0.24‐2.04) 0.5116 371 8 0.67 (0.27‐1.67) 0.3878
Smoking status at baseline No 2264 131 1 2221 72 1 2192 40 1 2229 40 1
Yes 340 28 1.35 (0.88‐2.06) 0.1701 325 12 1.15 (0.61‐2.17) 0.6678 316 6 1.10 (0.45‐2.70) 0.8278 332 12 1.78 (0.89‐3.59) 0.1049
Number of sexual partners during the last year 0 283 16 1 277 8 1 272 2 1 279 5 1
1 2096 112 0.88 (0.52‐1.52) 0.6563 2052 59 1.02 (0.48‐2.18) 0.9634 2026 35 2.26 (0.54‐9.57) 0.2663 2064 36 0.89 (0.33‐2.35) 0.8105
≥2 225 31 2.36 (1.264.44) 0.0074 217 17 3.53 (1.478.48) 0.0048 210 9 8.20 (1.7039.49) 0.0087 218 11 1.72 (0.56‐5.28) 0.3399
Pregnancy No 401 35 1 393 19 1 384 7 1 394 11 1
Yes 2203 124 0.74 (0.47‐1.14) 0.1732 2153 65 0.57 (0.31‐1.05) 0.0696 2124 39 0.82 (0.33‐2.06) 0.6793 2167 41 0.91 (0.40‐2.06) 0.8211
Chlamydia infection at baseline No 2458 150 1 2407 81 1 2371 44 1 2420 48 1
Yes 122 7 0.59 (0.27‐1.29) 0.1848 115 2 0.36 (0.08‐1.51) 0.1618 113 2 0.95 (0.21‐4.32) 0.9486 117 3 2.57 (0.71‐9.27) 0.1483
History of HPV infection/treatment or not intact cervix No 2285 128 1 2234 72 1 2202 39 1 2246 3 1
Yes 319 31 1.56 (1.032.35) 0.0348 312 12 1.17 (0.62‐2.18) 0.6316 306 7 1.31 (0.57‐3.02) 0.5240 315 8 1.03 (0.45‐2.36) 0.9416
Previous HPV‐16 infection No 2561 24 1
Yes 128 28 122.89 (67.91222.37) <.0001

HPV = human papillomavirus; PI = persistent infection; CI = confidence interval; ACS‐US+ = atypical squamous cell of undetermined significance or greater; N = total number of subjects; n = number of cases reported. Bold: P‐values <0.05