Table 2.
Risk factor | Category | Enrollment serostatus (binary) | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Incident infection | 6‐mo PI | 12‐mo PI | ASC‐US+ | ||||||||||||||
N | n | Hazard ratio (95% CI) | P‐value | N | n | Hazard ratio (95% CI) | P‐value | N | n | Hazard ratio (95% CI) | P‐value | N | n | Hazard ratio (95% CI) | P‐value | ||
HPV‐16 serostatus | Negative | 1814 | 114 | 1 | ‐ | 1779 | 67 | 1 | ‐ | 1755 | 38 | 1 | ‐ | 1787 | 43 | 1 | ‐ |
Positive | 790 | 45 | 0.81 (0.56‐1.16) | 0.2559 | 767 | 17 | 0.56 (0.32‐0.99) | 0.0446 | 753 | 8 | 0.53 (0.24‐1.16) | 0.1123 | 774 | 9 | 0.28 (0.12‐0.67) | 0.0043 | |
Age at inclusion | 26‐35 | 1157 | 94 | 1 | ‐ | 1134 | 45 | 1 | ‐ | 1109 | 21 | 1 | ‐ | 1139 | 33 | 1 | ‐ |
≥36 | 1157 | 65 | 0.58 (0.42‐0.82) | 0.0016 | 1412 | 39 | 0.78 (0.50‐1.24) | 0.2946 | 1399 | 25 | 0.99 (0.54‐1.82) | 0.9817 | 1423 | 19 | 0.57 (0.31‐1.03) | 0.0640 | |
Region | Europe | 505 | 22 | 1 | ‐ | 495 | 6 | 1 | ‐ | 491 | 5 | 1 | ‐ | 500 | 8 | 1 | ‐ |
Asia Pacific | 779 | 38 | 1.19 (0.68‐2.08) | 0.5445 | 772 | 23 | 2.57 (1.01‐6.52) | 0.0476 | 765 | 15 | 1.75 (0.61‐5.05) | 0.3004 | 772 | 10 | 0.77 (0.28‐2.10) | 0.6065 | |
Latin America | 679 | 43 | 1.56 (0.90‐2.71) | 0.1142 | 663 | 29 | 3.86 (1.54‐9.70) | 0.0040 | 658 | 16 | 2.26 (0.79‐6.48) | 0.1308 | 666 | 18 | 1.66 (0.65‐4.21) | 0.2862 | |
North America | 641 | 56 | 2.38 (1.42‐3.97) | 0.0009 | 616 | 26 | 4.28 (1.74‐10.54) | 0.0015 | 594 | 10 | 1.89 (0.63‐5.66) | 0.2575 | 623 | 16 | 1.32 (0.50‐3.46) | 0.5716 | |
Age at first sexual intercourse grouped | ≥18 | 1654 | 98 | 1 | ‐ | 1621 | 57 | 1 | ‐ | 1600 | 33 | 1 | ‐ | 1630 | 32 | 1 | ‐ |
15‐17 | 817 | 50 | 0.85 (0.58‐1.23) | 0.3775 | 799 | 57 | 0.62 (0.36‐1.09) | 0.0967 | 784 | 9 | 0.56 (0.26‐1.22) | 0.1473 | 804 | 14 | 1.05 (0.53‐2.08) | 0.8832 | |
<15 | 127 | 11 | 1.08 (0.56‐2.07) | 0.8271 | 120 | 8 | 1.48 (0.67‐3.27) | 0.3329 | 118 | 4 | 1.30 (0.43‐3.95) | 0.6433 | 121 | 6 | 2.20 (0.79‐6.16) | 0.1322 | |
Marital status at baseline | Living or lived with partner | 2227 | 129 | 1 | ‐ | 2177 | 69 | 1 | ‐ | 2151 | 41 | 1 | ‐ | 2190 | 44 | 1 | ‐ |
Single | 377 | 30 | 0.79 (0.49‐1.29) | 0.3493 | 369 | 15 | 0.89 (0.46‐1.75) | 0.7434 | 357 | 5 | 0.70 (0.24‐2.04) | 0.5116 | 371 | 8 | 0.67 (0.27‐1.67) | 0.3878 | |
Smoking status at baseline | No | 2264 | 131 | 1 | ‐ | 2221 | 72 | 1 | ‐ | 2192 | 40 | 1 | ‐ | 2229 | 40 | 1 | ‐ |
Yes | 340 | 28 | 1.35 (0.88‐2.06) | 0.1701 | 325 | 12 | 1.15 (0.61‐2.17) | 0.6678 | 316 | 6 | 1.10 (0.45‐2.70) | 0.8278 | 332 | 12 | 1.78 (0.89‐3.59) | 0.1049 | |
Number of sexual partners during the last year | 0 | 283 | 16 | 1 | ‐ | 277 | 8 | 1 | ‐ | 272 | 2 | 1 | ‐ | 279 | 5 | 1 | ‐ |
1 | 2096 | 112 | 0.88 (0.52‐1.52) | 0.6563 | 2052 | 59 | 1.02 (0.48‐2.18) | 0.9634 | 2026 | 35 | 2.26 (0.54‐9.57) | 0.2663 | 2064 | 36 | 0.89 (0.33‐2.35) | 0.8105 | |
≥2 | 225 | 31 | 2.36 (1.26‐4.44) | 0.0074 | 217 | 17 | 3.53 (1.47‐8.48) | 0.0048 | 210 | 9 | 8.20 (1.70‐39.49) | 0.0087 | 218 | 11 | 1.72 (0.56‐5.28) | 0.3399 | |
Pregnancy | No | 401 | 35 | 1 | ‐ | 393 | 19 | 1 | ‐ | 384 | 7 | 1 | ‐ | 394 | 11 | 1 | ‐ |
Yes | 2203 | 124 | 0.74 (0.47‐1.14) | 0.1732 | 2153 | 65 | 0.57 (0.31‐1.05) | 0.0696 | 2124 | 39 | 0.82 (0.33‐2.06) | 0.6793 | 2167 | 41 | 0.91 (0.40‐2.06) | 0.8211 | |
Chlamydia infection at baseline | No | 2458 | 150 | 1 | ‐ | 2407 | 81 | 1 | ‐ | 2371 | 44 | 1 | ‐ | 2420 | 48 | 1 | ‐ |
Yes | 122 | 7 | 0.59 (0.27‐1.29) | 0.1848 | 115 | 2 | 0.36 (0.08‐1.51) | 0.1618 | 113 | 2 | 0.95 (0.21‐4.32) | 0.9486 | 117 | 3 | 2.57 (0.71‐9.27) | 0.1483 | |
History of HPV infection/treatment or not intact cervix | No | 2285 | 128 | 1 | ‐ | 2234 | 72 | 1 | ‐ | 2202 | 39 | 1 | ‐ | 2246 | 3 | 1 | ‐ |
Yes | 319 | 31 | 1.56 (1.03‐2.35) | 0.0348 | 312 | 12 | 1.17 (0.62‐2.18) | 0.6316 | 306 | 7 | 1.31 (0.57‐3.02) | 0.5240 | 315 | 8 | 1.03 (0.45‐2.36) | 0.9416 | |
Previous HPV‐16 infection | No | ‐ | ‐ | ‐ | ‐ | ‐ | ‐ | 2561 | 24 | 1 | ‐ | ||||||
Yes | ‐ | ‐ | ‐ | ‐ | ‐ | ‐ | 128 | 28 | 122.89 (67.91‐222.37) | <.0001 |
HPV = human papillomavirus; PI = persistent infection; CI = confidence interval; ACS‐US+ = atypical squamous cell of undetermined significance or greater; N = total number of subjects; n = number of cases reported. Bold: P‐values <0.05