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. 2019 Aug 26;179(12):1714–1716. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2019.3177

Table. Change in Rates of Hospitalization and Observation Stays Related to Overall, Acute, and Chronic ACSCsa.

Admission Status by ACSC Category Year Yearly Change, Slope (95% CI) P Value for Trend
2011 2015
All ACSCs, No. per 100 000 Medicare beneficiaries
Hospitalization 5517 4158 −326.2 (−332.8 to −319.7) <.001
Observation 3743 4718 245.6 (233.4 to 257.7) <.001
Chronic ACSCs, No. per 100 000 Medicare beneficiariesb
Hospitalization 3055 2340 −167.8 (−172.9 to −162.7) <.001
Observation 2617 3350 188.6 (178.5 to 198.7) .001
Acute ACSCs, No. per 100 000 Medicare beneficiariesc
Hospitalization 2463 1819 −158.4 (−162.4 to −154.4) <.001
Observation 1126 1368 57.0 (51.7 to 62.3) <.001

Abbreviation: ACSCs, ambulatory care–sensitive conditions.

a

Multivariable linear regression models were used to estimate yearly hospitalization rates and observation stays by using a 20% national sample of Medicare inpatient and outpatient data for 2011 to 2015 after adjusting for patient demographics and comorbidities, and treating time as a categorical variable. Yearly slopes were estimated by treating time as a continuous variable. All models included HRR fixed effects. The study baseline was 2011, and 2015 was the latest year for which relevant national data were available.

b

Chronic ACSCs included short-term and long-term complications of diabetes, uncontrolled diabetes, lower extremity amputation related to diabetes, asthma in adults, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, hypertension, heart failure, and angina without procedure.

c

Acute ACSCs included dehydration, bacterial pneumonia, urinary tract infection, and perforated appendix.