Table 2.
Summary of performance for Framingham 10-year CVD risk, a model with only biomarkers, and Wellness ScoreCard. Sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV (95% confidence intervals) are determined by optimal cutoff given by ROC analysis.
| Framingham | Biomarkers | Wellness ScoreCard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUC | 0.7975 (0.7431 – 0.8518) |
0.7664 (0.7087 – 0.8241) |
0.8403 (0.7924 – 0.8881) |
| Sensitivity | 0.7403 (0.6803 – 0.7929) |
0.6948 (0.6329 – 0.7508) |
0.7597 (0.7009 – 0.8107) |
| Specificity | 0.7474 (0.6878 – 0.7994) |
0.7474 (0.6878 – 0.7994) |
0.8211 (0.7665 – 0.8659) |
| PPV | 0.8261 (0.7720 – 0.8703) |
0.8168 (0.7619 – 0.8621) |
0.8731 (0.8238 – 0.9111) |
| NPV | 0.6396 (0.5763 – 0.6988) |
0.6017 (0.5378 – 0.6625) |
0.6783 (0.6158 – 0.7353) |
| Training error | - | - | 0.2112 |
| Test error | - | - | 0.2429 |