Table 1.
Relative risks (with 95% eCI) of incidence at specific exposure-lag values.
| Districts | Overall: Lag 0–6 | Lag 0 | Lag 1 | Lag 2 | Lag 3 | Lag 4 | Lag 5 | Lag 6 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temperature | Naogaon | 10th (14.1) | 4.31 (1.71–10.83) | 1.09 (0.93–1.29) | 1.14 (0.98–1.32) | 1.18 (1.03–1.36) | 1.23 (1.08–1.41) | 1.28 (1.12–1.46) | 1.33 (1.16–1.53) | 1.39 (1.20–1.61) |
| 50th (21.0) | 1.89 (1.26–2.83) | 1.04 (0.97–1.12) | 1.06 (0.97–1.13) | 1.08 (1.01–1.14) | 1.10 (1.03–1.16) | 1.11 (1.05–1.18) | 1.13 (1.07–1.20) | 1.15 (1.08–1.23) | ||
| 90th (26.2) | 1.03 (1.01–1.04) | 1.00 (0.99–1.00) | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 1.00 (1.00–1.01) | 1.00 (1.00–1.01) | 1.00 (1.00–1.01) | 1.00 (1.00–1.01) | 1.01 (1.00–1.01) | ||
| Humidity | 10th (72.3) | 10.63 (3.45–32.74) | 1.52 (1.21–1.91) | 1.48 (1.21–1.81) | 1.44 (1.20–1.72) | 1.40 (1.19–1.65) | 1.36 (1.17–1.59) | 1.33 (1.14–1.55) | 1.29 (1.09–1.53) | |
| 50th (78.4) | 3.58 (1.95–6.57) | 1.25 (1.11–1.42) | 1.23 (1.11–1.38) | 1.22 (1.11–1.34) | 1.20 (1.10–1.31) | 1.18 (1.10–1.28) | 1.17 (1.07–1.27) | 1.15 (1.05–1.26) | ||
| 90th (84.5) | 1.22 (1.11–1.35) | 1.04 (1.02–1.06) | 1.03 (1.02–1.05) | 1.03 (1.02–1.05) | 1.03 (1.02–1.04) | 1.03 (1.01–1.04) | 1.02 (1.01–1.04) | 1.02 (1.01–1.04) | ||
| Rainfall | 10th (0.87) | 7.6 (3.34–17.05) | 1.19 (1.04–1.37) | 1.24 (1.09–1.41) | 1.29 (1.14–1.45) | 1.33 (1.19–1.50) | 1.39 (1.23–1.56) | 1.44 (1.27–1.63) | 1.49 (1.30–1.71) | |
| 50th (8.01) | 4.8 (2.54–8.93) | 1.15 (1.03–1.28) | 1.18 (1.07–1.30) | 1.21 (1.11–1.33) | 1.25 (1.14–1.37) | 1.29 (1.17–1.41) | 1.32 (1.20–1.46) | 1.36 (1.22–1.52) | ||
| 90th (29.18) | 1.21 (1.12–1.31) | 1.02 (1.00–1.03) | 1.02 (1.01–1.03) | 1.02 (1.01–1.04) | 1.03 (1.02–1.04) | 1.03 (1.02–1.04) | 1.04 (1.02–1.05) | 1.04 (1.03–1.05) | ||
| Temperature | Nawabganj | 10th (14.0) | 3.59 (2.17–5.94) | 1.12 (1.02–1.23) | 1.15 (1.06–1.24) | 1.17 (1.10–1.26) | 1.20 (1.12–1.29) | 1.23 (1.14–1.32) | 1.26 (1.16–1.36) | 1.28 (1.18–1.40) |
| 50th (21.1) | 1.72 (1.39–2.13) | 1.05 (1.01–1.10) | 1.06 (1.02–1.10) | 1.07 (1.04–1.11) | 1.08 (1.05–1.11) | 1.09 (1.06–1.13) | 1.10 (1.07–1.14) | 1.11 (1.18–1.15) | ||
| 90th (26.2) | 1.01 (1.01–1.02) | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | ||
| Humidity | 10th (72.4) | 4.87 (2.65–8.95) | 1.34 (1.19–1.50) | 1.31 (1.18–1.45) | 1.28 (1.17–1.40) | 1.25 (1.15–1.37) | 1.23 (1.12–1.34) | 1.20 (1.09–1.33) | 1.18 (1.05–1.32) | |
| 50th (78.5) | 2.40 (1.71–3.36) | 1.17 (1.10–1.25) | 1.16 (1.10–1.23) | 1.15 (1.09–1.21) | 1.13 (1.08–1.19) | 1.12 (1.07–1.18) | 1.11 (1.05–1.17) | 1.09 (1.03–1.17) | ||
| 90th (84.8) | 1.16 (1.09–1.22) | 1.03 (1.02–1.04) | 1.02 (1.02–1.03) | 1.02 (1.01–1.03) | 1.02 (1.01–1.03) | 1.02 (1.01–1.03) | 1.02 (1.01–1.03) | 1.01 (1.00–1.03) | ||
| Rainfall | 10th (0.97) | 6.03 (3.65–9.96) | 1.24 (1.13–1.37) | 1.26 (1.16–1.37) | 1.28 (1.18–1.38) | 1.29 (1.20–1.39) | 1.31 (1.22–1.41) | 1.33 (1.23–1.43) | 1.34 (1.24–1.45) | |
| 50th (7.72) | 4.13 (2.78–6.14) | 1.19 (1.10–1.28) | 1.20 (1.12–1.28) | 1.21 (1.14–1.29) | 1.22 (1.14–1.30) | 1.24 (1.17–1.31) | 1.25 (1.18–1.32) | 1.26 (1.19–1.34) | ||
| 90th (29.82) | 1.20 (1.14–1.26) | 1.02 (1.01–1.03) | 1.02 (1.01–1.03) | 1.02 (1.02–1.03) | 1.03 (1.02–1.03) | 1.03 (1.02–1.03) | 1.03 (1.02–1.04) | 1.03 (1.02–1.04) | ||
| Temperature | Rajshahi | 10th (14.0) | 3.31 (1.88–5.83) | 1.10 (0.99–1.21) | 1.12 (1.03–1.23) | 1.56 (1.06–1.25) | 1.89 (1.09–1.28) | 1.22 (1.12–1.31) | 1.25 (1.14–1.37) | 1.28 (1.16–1.42) |
| 50th (21.0) | 1.67 (1.31–2.14) | 1.04 (1.00–1.08) | 1.05 (1.01–1.09) | 1.06 (1.03–1.10) | 1.07 (1.04–1.11) | 1.10 (1.05–1.13) | 1.10 (1.06–1.15) | 1.11 (1.07–1.16) | ||
| 90th (26.1) | 1.02 (1.01–1.03) | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 1.00 (1.00–1.01) | ||
| Humidity | 10th (72.2) | 3.89 (1.69–8.94) | 1.26 (1.09–1.47) | 1.25 (1.09–1.43) | 1.23 (1.09–1.39) | 1.21 (1.08–1.37) | 1.20 (1.06–1.35) | 1.18 (1.03–1.35) | 1.17 (1.00–1.36) | |
| 50th (78.2) | 2.18 (1.35–3.51) | 1.14 (1.05–1.25) | 1.14 (1.05–1.23) | 1.23 (1.05–1.21) | 1.12 (1.04–1.20) | 1.11 (1.03–1.19) | 1.10 (1.02–1.19) | 1.09 (1.00–1.19) | ||
| 90th (85.1) | 1.11 (1.04–1.19) | 1.02 (1.01–1.03) | 1.02 (1.01–1.03) | 1.02 (1.01–1.03) | 1.02 (1.01–1.02) | 1.01 (1.00–1.02) | 1.01 (1.00–1.02) | 1.01 (1.00–1.02) | ||
| Rainfall | 10th (1.0) | 4.62 (1.59–13.45) | 1.19 (0.98–1.44) | 1.20 (1.01–1.43) | 1.22 (1.04–1.44) | 1.24 (1.07–1.45) | 1.26 (1.09–1.47) | 1.29 (1.10–1.51) | 1.31 (1.10–1.55) | |
| 50th (7.0) | 3.45 (1.45–8.21) | 1.15 (0.98–1.34) | 1.16 (1.01–1.34) | 1.18 (1.03–1.34) | 1.19 (1.05–1.35) | 1.21 (1.07–1.37) | 1.23 (1.08–1.39) | 1.24 (1.08–1.43) | ||
| 90th (27.3) | 1.28 (1.08–1.53) | 1.03 (1.00–1.06) | 1.03 (1.00–1.06) | 1.03 (1.01–1.06) | 1.04 (1.01–1.06) | 1.04 (1.01–1.07) | 1.04 (1.02–1.07) | 1.04 (1.02–1.07) |