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. 2019 Sep 4;366:l4786. doi: 10.1136/bmj.l4786

Table 2.

Estimated average weight change (g) after first year by 20% price increase, body mass index (BMI),* and household income†

BMI group by household income No of participants Change in weight (g) (95% CI)
Beverages Biscuits Confectionery‡ Cake High sugar snacks Beverages and snacks
Not overweight:
 Low 372 −247 (−316 to −178) −152 (−189 to −115) −645 (−748 to −543) −180 (−229 to −129) −889 (−1340 to −439) −1136 (−1387 to −885)
 Middle 473 −35.7 (−74.9 to 3.4) −419 (−501 to −336) −578 (−661 to −495) −505 (−644 to −366) −1451 (−2123 to −780) −1494 (−1801 to −1188)
 High 191 97.5 (3.0 to 192) −115 (−211 to −8.4) −521 (−631 to −411) −524 (−773 to −276) −1126 (−2057 to −195) −1010 (−1343 to −678)
Overweight:
 Low 273 −445 (−570 to −321) −472 (−582 to −363) −495 (−575 to −415) +395 (287 to 504) −473 (−717 to −229) −911 (−1115 to −707)
 Middle 440 −574 (−702 to −445) −809 (−967 to −651) −423 (−483 to −362) −346 (−442 to −250) −1544 (−2259 to −830) −-2100 (−2530 to −1671)
 High 156 −48.1 (−70.1 to 0.8) −418 (−543 to −293) −539 (−653 to −424) −665 (−981 to −349) −1646 (−3005 to −287) −1726 (−2291 to −1162)
Obese:
 Low 266 −270 (−346 to −194) −1023 (−1254 to −793) −762 (−884 to −640) 41.4 (−21.6 to 104.3) −1706 (−2568 to −844) −1987 (−2423 to −1550)
 Middle 292 −32.3 (−141.6 to 76.9) −879 (−1051 to −706) −399 (−457 to −340) −270 (−345 to −194) −1512 (−2213 to −810) −1604 (−1935 to −1274)
 High 81 457 (298 to 616) −531 (−690 to −371) −393 (−479 to −307) −551 (−815 to −288) −1448 (−2648 to −247) −1024 (−1365 to −684)
All 2544 −203 (−269 to −137) −550 (−691 to −409) −538 (−633 to −444) −262 (−361 to −162) −1301 (−2088 to −513) −1511 (−1898 to −1121)
*

Not overweight (BMI <25), overweight (25 to <30), and obese (≥30).

Low <£20 000, middle £20 000-49 999, high ≥£50 000.

Includes chocolate.