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. 2019 Aug 21;4(4):e001317. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2018-001317

Table 6.

Sensitivity analyses for catastrophic health expenditure thresholds for the extended cost-effectiveness analysis of 10% tax on sugar-sweetened beverages in South Africa

Total Quintile 1 Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 Quintile 5
Panel A. Catastrophic health expenditure threshold set to 5%
T2DM deaths averted* 7898 1260 1561 1820 1860 1397
Government healthcare savings (ZAR million)* 1690 383 488 410 314 94
Changes in annual tax revenues (ZAR million) 5490 915 1021 1118 1191 1245
Financial risk protection (cases of poverty averted using FPL)* 12 179 1155 5595 5066 363 0
Financial risk protection (cases of catastrophic expenditures averted)* 38 068 6455 7020 8760 8809 7024
Annual indirect cost savings (ZAR million) 11.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 2.0 7.4
Panel B. Catastrophic health expenditure threshold set to 40%
T2DM deaths averted* 7898 1260 1561 1820 1860 1397
Government healthcare savings (ZAR million)* 1690 383 488 410 314 94
Changes in annual tax revenues (ZAR million) 5490 915 1021 1118 1191 1245
Financial risk protection (cases of poverty averted using FPL)* 12 179 1155 5595 5066 363 0
Financial risk protection (cases of catastrophic expenditures averted)* 10 107 6360 242 3505 0 0
Annual indirect cost savings (ZAR million) 11.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 2.0 7.4

*Estimated over 20 years.

FPL, food poverty line (ZAR321 or US$21 per capita per month); T2DM, type 2 diabetes mellitus; ZAR, South African rand.