Table 4.
Estimating SDG basic needs target gaps measured by people left behind in Canada.
| BAU value in 2030 | Value required to meet target | People left behind in 2030† | Reference population in 2030 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Directly measured targets | ||||
| Moderate & Severe food insecurity (applied to total population) | 11.0% | 0% | 4,448,000 | 40,618,000 |
| Children overweight, (aged 2–4) | 29.2% | 0% | 356,000 | 1,218,000 |
| TB incidence, per 100,000 | 4.9 | 1 | 12,000 | 40,618,000 |
| Women with family planning needs satisfied (aged 15–49) | 87.5% | 100% | 1,089,000 | 8,724,000 |
| Minimum proficiency in reading, lower secondary (applied to population aged 15–79) | 89.8% | 100% | 3,244,000 | 31,734,000 |
| Minimum proficiency in mathematics, lower secondary (applied to population aged 15–79) | 79.7% | 100% | 6,449,000 | 31,734,000 |
| Women experiencing intimate partner violence (aged 15–79, age-standardized) | 5.7% | 0% | 901,000 | 15,893,000 |
| Police-reported female victims of violent crime, per 100,000 females aged 0–79 | 685 | 0 | 130,000 | 18,946,000 |
| Share of 15–17 year old females who are married | 0.034% | 0% | 200 | 655,000 |
| Access to basic drinking water services | 97.4% | 100% | 1,056,000 | 40,618,000 |
| Access to safely managed sanitation services | 80.4% | 100% | 7,966,000 | 40,618,000 |
| Proxy targets | ||||
| Women in managerial positions (applied to females aged 0–79) | 36% | 50% | 5,453,000 | 18,946,000 |
| Youth not in education, employment or training (aged 15–24) | 10.2%* | 5.1%* | 215,000* | 4,262,000* |
| Have park or green space <10 min from home | 91% | 100% | 3,757,000 | 40,618,000 |
| Confidence in institutions - Justice system and courts (great deal or some) | 57% | 78% | 8,733,000 | 40,618,000 |
Notes: †Estimated numbers of people left behind are rounded to the nearest thousand. If total is less than one-thousand, numbers are rounded to nearest hundred. * Indicates target end year is 2020 and reference population is for 2020. TB incidence is cumulative from 2019 to 2030.
Trajectory values are based on methodology described in paper. Food insecurity estimates apply indicator measuring share of people aged 12 and older to entire population. Proficiency in reading and mathematics applies indicator measuring share of those in lower secondary to the population 15 and older. We interpret women in managerial positions as a general proxy for gender discrimination and apply indicator to the total female population.
Source: Authors' calculations using Global Burden of Disease Collaborative Network, 2018, Roberts, 2004, Cotter, 2015, Statistics Canada, 2019c, Statistics Canada, 2019e, Statistics Canada, 2019f, Statistics Canada, 2019h, United Nations Population Division, Department of Economic and Social Affairs (U.N.-DESA), 2017, United Nations Statistics Division, 2019, World Bank, 2019.